Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [7/14/23]

The MLB All-Star Game break is done, and we've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, July 14. Tonight's parlay features players from the Rockies vs. Yankees and Rangers vs. Guardians games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Friday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

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RELATED: Best Bets Today for All Sports - Friday, July 14

MLB +3820 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Josh Jung 1+ HR	+390
Jurickson Profar 1+ HR	+700

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Rangers vs. Guardians 8:05PM ET

LEG 1: Josh Jung 1+ HR (+390) with BetMGM

We begin our Home Run Parlay tonight with the Rangers' Josh Jung, but before we go into detail, we must warn you, there is some GREAT value on this duo tonight. Josh Jung, fresh of his All-Star appearance, will be looking to continue his stellar form from the first half of the season. Jung is currently tied for 14th in the league with 19 total homers on the year, and that included a relatively quiet July prior to the break.

We're expecting him to be refreshed tonight facing Aaron Civale, who gave up four homers in three games in a stretch at the end of June. Jung is 1-2 in his career against Civale with a double, and he'll be swinging for the fences tonight. This is one of our model's highest probability plays, with a 35.3% probability and a 13.9% edge.

⚾️ Predictions for Rangers vs. Guardians
📈 Rangers vs. Guardians Betting Preview

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Rockies vs. Yankees 8:40PM ET

LEG 2: Jurickson Profar 1+ HR (+700) with BetMGM

For the final leg tonight, we're going big on a prop with a whopping +700 odds. Rockies leadoff hitter Jurickson Profar is a career .400 hitter in eight plate appearances against Yankees starter Carlos Rodon. Rodon made his season debut in just one game before the break, taking a loss to the Cubs and giving up a homer in just five innings pitches.

He only has six homers on the year, but our model isn't worried there, that only juices up the value astronomically. Profar has a 23% probability of going yard, good for a 10.5% edge on the books. Scoop those +700 odds while you can, and sit back and root for a big swing.

⚾️ Predictions for Rockies vs. Yankees
📈 Rockies vs. Yankees Betting Preview

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MLB +3820 Home Run Parlay Friday, July 14, 2023

1️⃣ Josh Jung 1+ HR
2️⃣ Jurickson Profar 1+ HR

MORE: Top Five MLB Props and +5931 Lotto Parlay

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