Home Run Predictions, Props & Parlay for MLB Friday [6/9/23]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Predictions, Props & Parlay for MLB Friday [6/9/23]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, June 9. Tonight's parlay features players from the Rangers vs. Mariners game as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Friday's +428 MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM➡️here⬅️where you can bet this HR parlay risk-free up to $1000, and score bonus bets every Wednesday and Saturday. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer.

 

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MLB +1800 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Rafael Devers 1+ HR

+375

Manny Machado 1+ HR

+300

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Red Sox vs. Yankees 7:05PM ET

LEG 1: Rafael Devers 1+ HR (+375) with BetMGM 

We've been waiting for this one. Why would we target a home run prop against one of the AL Cy Young frontrunners in Gerrit Cole? And why would we do it when Rafael Devers has a .250 lifetime batting average against Cole and is looking for his first home run in June? Because six of Devers' eight career hits off Cole have been home runs. Yes, you are reading that correctly. Six home runs out of eight hits. That's a rate you simply won't find among hitters vs. pitchers in this league.

Gerrit Cole is a great pitcher, there's no denying that. He does however have a few vulnerabilities: walks and power contact. We won't be getting much benefit from the walks aspect, other than he'll likely try to avoid too many BBs, and that opens the door for a nice hanging slider over the middle. However, for as talented a pitcher as Cole is, he only sits in the middle of the league (around 50%) in home run-relevant metrics like HardHit% and Barrel %. Cole's likely to get at least three trips through the rotation, giving Raffy enough opportunities to tally HR #7.

⚾️ Predictions for Red Sox vs. Yankees
📈 Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Preview


Padres vs. Rockies 8:40PM ET

LEG 2: Manny Machado 1+ HR (+300) with BetMGM

Let's head west to our favorite park for home runs, Coors Field. We're going with Manny Machado of the Padres and here's why. Yes, Manny is looking for his first home run since returning from the IL a week ago, but we love his chances tonight.

Our model gives Machado a massive 34% home run probability in this game, second on his team only to Juan Soto, whose 38% probability (!) landed him in our Home Run Round Robin, which you can find on our Twitter account after 4:00pm today. That's a solid 9% edge over the books' odds, which is great value to seize. 

Two things working in our favor tonight: the lofty hitter-friendly confines of Coors Field and the man toeing the rubber for the Rockies, Austin Gomber. It's not an overstatement to say Gomber is one of the worst starters in the league this year (seriously, look), a title a few Rockies' starters are privileged enough to claim. He's allowed 13 dingers this year. The only two starts in which he didn't allow a home run were road starts. He is an automatic home run in Coors Field. Let's cash!

⚾️ Predictions for Padres vs. Rockies
📈 Padres vs. Rockies Betting Preview


MLB +1800 Home Run Parlay Friday, June 9, 2023

1️⃣ Rafael Devers 1+ HR
2️⃣ Manny Machado 1+ HR

 

MORE: Today's Best MLB Props and Parlay

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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