Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Wednesday [9/27/2023]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Wednesday [9/27/2023]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, September 27. Tonight's parlay features players from the Athletics vs. Twins and Yankees vs. Blue Jays games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Wednesday's Home Run Cheat Sheet

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MLB +2760 Home Run Parlay For Wednesday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Max Kepler 1+ HR

+420

Will Smith 1+ HR

+450

RELATED: Wednesday's Player Prop Picks and +15184 Lotto

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Athletics vs. Twins 7:40PM ET

LEG 1: Max Kepler (+420) with PointsBet

As far as career debuts go, Oakland's Joey Estes' doesn't get any worse. The right-hander was destroyed in his first start on September 20 against the Mariners, giving up three home runs and collecting the L in just 4.2 innings. As the A's dismal season comes to an end, they're going to give him one more try to see if he has it or not, but it's not looking good according to our home run predictor. Any number of Twins' players could go yard tonight, but we're zoning in on Max Kepler. The slugger has found form again after a two week home run drought when he knocked one out of the park on Sunday against the lowly Angels. Kepler is efficient against the 4-seam fastball, as well as a magician against the cutter, two balls that Estes utilized in debut. Kepler remains the biggest hitting threat on this Minnesota team and needs to be considered.

⚾️ Athletics vs. Twins Predictions
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Athletics vs. Twins


MORE: Calling Our Shot's MLB Parlay of the Day

Dodgers vs. Rockies 8:40PM ET

LEG 2: Will Smith (+450) with PointsBet

Get ready for the dingers to fly on Wednesday night in Colorado, with weather conditions pristine for slugging. Denver is hot with winds blowing outward which will make things tricky for Rockies right hander Noah Davis against the might of this L.A. batting lineup. Davis has only started twice this season at Coors Field, giving up homers both times to spell ominous signs for the 26-year-old. Once again, this could really be a take-you-pick type game, with our model liking Will Smith at +450 odds, displaying an edge of 8.2% against the sportsbooks when compared with our 26.4% probability.

⚾️ Dodgers vs. Rockies Predictions
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Dodgers vs. Rockies


MLB +2760 Home Run Parlay Wednesday, September 27, 2023

1️⃣ Max Kepler 1+ HR
2️⃣ Will Smith 1+ HR

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

 

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Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-300-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.

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