Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Wednesday [7/19/2023]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Wednesday, July 19. Tonight's parlay features players from the Dodgers vs. Orioles and Astros vs. Rockies games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Best Bets Across All Sports - Wednesday, July 19

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MLB +1556 Home Run Parlay For Wednesday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Max Muncy 1+ HR	+285
Chas McCormick 1+ HR	+330

BEST BETS: Wednesday's Home Run Cheat Sheet

Wednesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Dodgers vs. Orioles 1:05PM ET

LEG 1: Max Muncy (+285) with DraftKings

*Please note that this originally included J.D. Martinez, who isn't in the lineup today.

It's an early home run kind of day in our midweek parlay as we kick things off in the second game of the slate. We look to Max Muncy, who is one of our model's highest probability home run hitters tonight.

Muncy gets a big-time 40% probability from DimersBOT to go yard in this one. We get an extremely significant 14.0% edge in the odds, suggesting this should be much, much shorter. He absolutely crushes the ball, and more importantly, he is due, as he hasn't gone yard in five consecutive games (which is rare for a guy with 21 homers on the season).

He'll face one of our favorite home run targets in Orioles' starter Dean Kremer who is tied for the fourth-most HRs allowed this season with 20. He's given up nearly double what he allowed all last season and in 20 fewer innings. Lock in Muncy before the early slate begins!

⚾️ Orioles vs. Dodgers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Dodgers vs. Orioles

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Astros vs. Rockies 3:10PM ET

LEG 2: Chas McCormick 1+ HR (+400) with DraftKings

Ma! The meatloaf! If J.D. can come through for us, then we're looking to our man Chas McCormick to bring us home. Chas has been raking lately, racking up three dingers in his past three games while hitting .571 to go with a monstrous 1.214 slugging percentage over that span. He has 11 home runs on this year with seven of them coming in his past 30 games and has raised his batting average by more than 70 points since his season low at the end of May.

He gets an absolutely massive 36% home run probability from DimersBOT to give us a healthy 13.2% edge in the odds as of this writing. We're playing this game in Coors Field much to our delight. McCormick rips the majority of his home runs out to right field which just so happens to be the shortest porch in the mile-high stadium. Though the fence is at its' highest point in right field, McCormick's Barrel  % and launch angle tendencies match up extremely well.

As far as pitching matchups go, there's not much better in all of MLB. Austin Gomber will toe the rubber for the Rockies and he has allowed the third-most home runs among starters with 21 for a juicy rate of 1.5 HR/9. He's got five games where he's allowed multiple dingers and has only two starts in Coors Field this season where he hasn't served one up. He's a walking, talking baseball tee. Let's ride.

⚾️ Astros vs. Rockies Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Astros vs. Rockies

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MLB +1958 Home Run Parlay Wednesday, July 19, 2023

1️⃣ Max Muncy 1+ HR
2️⃣ Chas McCormick 1+ HR

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Wednesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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