Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Tuesday [9/19/2023]

Tuesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Twins vs. Reds - 6:40PM EST

LEG 1: Jake Fraley 1+ HR (+550) with PointsBet

Not too many things are certain in life, but Minnesota starter Kenta Maeda giving up dingers is one thing you can bank on. The right hander has allowed a home run every game for 11 straight starts dating back to mid-July and will be up against it to break that trend tonight at the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. When it comes to which player from Cincy has the best chance of going yard, we're locking in Jake Fraley. The left-hander has a small but intriguing history against Maeda, going 1-1 with an RBI in his career. Our model has Fraley down at an 18% chance of hitting a home run with a 3.4% edge detected against the sportsbook's odds.

⚾️ Twins vs. Reds Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Twins vs. Reds

White Sox vs. Nationals - 7:05PM EST

LEG 1: Keibert Ruiz 1+ HR (+825) with PointsBet

Every home run bettor should be targeting this game tonight with Jose Urena on the mound for the White Sox yet again. Urena has been one of the most costly pitchers in the MLB this season, giving up 12 home runs from just seven appearances in the Majors this year. While the Nats aren't the most punishing of teams when it comes to home runs, they still have some guys who can blast off, including Keibert Ruiz. The Nationals slugger is well primed with 17 home runs this season, 16 of which coming off of right handers. It's been almost two weeks since he's knocked one out of the park, but our home run predictor likes his chances tonight against an ordinary pitcher, detecting a 7% edge on his +825 odds.

⚾️ White Sox vs. Nationals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: White Sox vs. Nationals

+5912 MLB Home Run Parlay Tuesday, September 19, 2023

1️⃣ Jake Fraley 1+ HR
2️⃣ Keibert Ruiz 1+ HR

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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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