Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Tuesday [8/22/2023]

Dinger Tuesday is back and we whipped up a mega MLB Home Run Parlay. Today's parlay features players from the Braves vs. Mets and Marlins vs. Padres games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

RELATED: Best Bets for Today in All Sports - Tuesday, August 22

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM ➡️ here ⬅️ as you can get up to $1,000 back on your first wager if it loses. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer. You will find today's best odds on DraftKings, so it's important to have multiple books in your pocket. Check out our all-new Best Sportsbooks page to maximize your profits!

+1790 MLB Home Run Parlay For Tuesday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Austin Riley 1+ HR	+320
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR	+350

RELATED: Home Run Cheat Sheet for Tuesday, August 22

Tuesday MLB Parlay Analysis

Braves vs. Mets - 7:20PM EST

LEG 1: Austin Riley 1+ HR (+320) with DraftKings

We begin tonight's Home Run Parlay with the Braves' slugger Austin Riley. Riley somehow has not hit a homer in six games - a rarity for a hitter of his caliber, and we're banking on some positive Home Run regression here. He has a good matchup for it too, as he faces the Mets' Tyler Megill, who he has homered off of once already in 18 career at-bats.

Riley should be swinging for the fences tonight, and DimersBOT certainly sees the value, giving Riley a 25% chance of going yard, making him one of our model's favorite plays of the entire slate. Lock it in, and let's go Braves!

⚾️ Braves vs. Mets Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Braves vs. Mets

---

Padres vs. Marlins - 9:40PM EST

LEG 2: Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR (+350) with DraftKings

Next up for our second leg, we're attacking the latest game on the slate where we turn to the Slam Diego Padres. The explosive Fernando Tatis Jr. is facing Miami's Jesus Luzardo, and he has a good run of success historically in this matchup, with a .400 average across six plate appearances in their careers.

More importantly though, Luzardo has been giving up dingers left and right, with eight home runs allowed in his last three starts in just 12.1 innings pitched! Given that horrible form, all the Padres will be trying to hit one out tonight, and Tatis' 21% probability is our model's highest number from that game. Let it fly!

⚾️ Padres vs. Marlins Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Padres vs. Marlins

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Tuesday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

MORE: Tuesday's Best MLB Props and Lotto Parlay

---

MLB Home Run Parlay Tuesday, August 15, 2023

1️⃣  Austin Riley 1+ HR
2️⃣  Fernando Tatis Jr. 1+ HR

Note: Always confirm lineups before placing bets

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Have a blast gambling responsibly! Think of it as pure entertainment, not a get-rich-quick scheme, and only bet with money you're okay with losing. If you feel like you're pushing your luck too far, know when to quit and don't hesitate to ask for help. Just remember, gambling is all about having a great time! If you or someone you know is struggling with gambling, you can reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.