Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Thursday [7/27/2023]

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Written by Greg Waddell
Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Thursday [7/27/2023]

There's plenty of games to choose from and it's time to once again bet some home runs! We're attacking a pair of games with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Thursday, July 27. Today's parlay features players from the Cardinals vs. Cubs and Mets vs. Nationals games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

MLB +1287 Home Run Parlay For Thursday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Pete Alonso 1+ HR

+265

Tyler O'Neill 1+ HR

+380

Thursday MLB Parlay Analysis

Mets vs. Nationals, 7:10PM ET

LEG 1: Pete Alonso 1+ HR (+265) with FanDuel

We start tonight's two-legger with Pete Alonso, who is one of the biggest names in action tonight and one of the highest likelihood home run hitters. Alonso faces Washington's Josiah Gray, who he has nine career at-bats against and Alonso has fared successfully.

Alonso has totaled three hits in nine at-bats, good for a .333 average against his matchup tonight, but more importantly, one of those hits was a dinger. Alonso should be swinging for the fences tonight, and he's the perfect leadoff batter for our two-leg, +1287 parlay.

⚾️ Mets vs. Nationals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Mets vs. Nationals


Cardinals vs. Cubs, 7:45PM ET

LEG 2: Tyler O'Neill 1+ HR (+380) with FanDuel

We're moving from Alonso to St. Louis slugger Tyler O'Neill for our second leg here. O'Neill has also had success against his matchup tonight, Chicago's Justin Steele. In his career, O'Neill has a .333 batting average and is two for six with one homer in those face-offs.

DimersBOT loves O'Neill's chances tonight, listing him as a 36% probability to go yard. That's good for the second-highest probability on the entire slate, and a massive edge on his +380 odds. Take it and run!

⚾️ Cubs vs. Cardinals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Cubs vs. Cardinals


MORE: Thursday's Top MLB Prop Picks and Lotto Parlay

MLB +1287 Home Run Parlay Thursday, July 27, 2023

1️⃣ Pete Alonso - 1+ HR
2️⃣ Tyler O'Neill - 1+ HR

 

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support. 

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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