Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Thursday [7/20/2023]

There's plenty of games to choose from and it's time to once again bet some home runs! We're attacking a pair of games with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Thursday, July 20. Today's parlay features players from the Cardinals vs. Cubs and Astros vs. A's games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

MLB +3350 Home Run Parlay For Thursday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Paul Goldschmidt 1+ HR	+500
Chas McCormick 1+ HR	+475

Thursday MLB Parlay Analysis

Cardinals vs. Cubs, 8:05PM ET

LEG 1: Paul Goldschmidt 1+ HR (+500) with FanDuel

We cashed yesterday's Home Run Parlay and we are back hunting for more! 

We start tonight's two-legger with Paul Goldschmidt, who is the only hitter on the entire slate that has three career homers against the pitcher he will face tonight. That pitcher would be the Cubs' Marcus Stroman, who can go cold and give up multiple dingers in a game, as he has done this year already.

Goldschmidt is well-familiar here, with a .375 average in 24 career at-bats. He'll be swinging away tonight, and DimersBOT loves his chances, grading Paul out as a 30.6% probability to go yard and a 13.9% edge on his massive +500 odds.

⚾️ Cardinals vs. Cubs Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Cardinals vs. Cubs

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A's vs. Astros, 9:40PM ET

LEG 2: Chas McCormick 1+ HR (+475) with FanDuel

And for our second leg, we're backing the hottest hitter in baseball.

Houston's Chas McCormick cashed for us in yesterday's huge parlay winner, and coming into tonight he has four total homers in his last four games. He's facing Oakland's Hogan Harris, who has only pitched 47 innings this season but has already allowed six homers.

Oakland's bullpen has the 2nd-most homers given up of any bullpen in baseball. Given that their starter doesn't usually last on the mound for long, there's some massive value here on McCormick. Our model gives him a 25.3% probability to hit one out, good for a 7.9% edge on his +475 odds.

⚾️ A's vs. Astros Predictions
📈 Betting preview: A's vs. Astros

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MORE: Thursday's Top MLB Prop Picks and Lotto Parlay

MLB +3350 Home Run Parlay Thursday, July 20, 2023

1️⃣ Paul Goldschmidt - 1+ HR
2️⃣ Chas McCormick - 1+ HR

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Thursday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.