Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Sunday [8/6/2023]

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Written by Greg Waddell
Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Sunday [8/6/2023]

It's time to end the week with a couple of dingers with our two-leg MLB Home Run Parlay for Sunday, August 6. Today's parlay features two players from the Athletics vs. Giants and the Mariners vs. Angels games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Our model's best bets across all sports today

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MLB Home Run Parlay For Sunday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

JD Davis 1+ HR

+550

Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR

+195

Sunday MLB Parlay Analysis

Athletics vs. Giants, 4:07PM ET

LEG 1: JD Davis 1+ HR (+550) with DraftKings

We open tonight's two-leg home run parlay with the Giants' JD Davis. Davis has quietly been one of the best home run bets you can make this season, with 14 dingers on the season. He doesn't typically go too long without one, as evidenced by his current form which includes two bombs in his last eight games.

Today, Davis faces Oakland's Luis Medina, who is one of the best home run targets of the slate. Medina allows 1.43 home runs per nine innings, and Davis will be swinging away. Our model gives JD Davis a 16% probability to go yard tonight, good for a 2% edge on the books. Lock it in.


Mariners vs. Angels, 4:07PM ET

LEG 2: Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR (+195) with DraftKings

Next up we move to the best player in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is well on his way to a hall of fame career, but tonight, we just need one swing of the bat. Ohtani has 40 dingers on the season, and he never goes long without knocking one out. He hasn't hit on in his last two games, which makes him a great target tonight.

Ohtani faces Seattle's Bryce Miller. The two have never faced yet in their careers, and surely Miller will be feeling the jitters when Ohtani steps into the box. Miller has given up six homers in just 11.1 innings pitched across has last two starts...that's insane! Ohtani will be looking to hit a bomb every time he steps up tonight. Let's rock!

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Sunday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.


MLB Props Parlay Sunday August 6, 2023

1️⃣ JD Davis 1+ HR
2️⃣ Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR

 

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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