Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Saturday [9/23/2023]

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Check out our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Saturday, September 23!

MLB +2400 Home Run Parlay For Saturday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Chas McCormick 1+ HR	+525
Corey Seager 1+ HR	+300

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Saturday MLB Parlay Analysis

Royals vs. Astros 7:10PM ET

LEG 1: Chas McCormick 1+ HR (+525) with bet365

We're locking in a mid-summer favorite of ours who just went yard last night to increase his career-high of 21 homers. Chas McCormick has slid right into this Houston Astros lineup as a crucial piece, with his ability to make consistent contact (.863 OPS) and ability to hit home runs to either corner of the park. Tonight, DimersBOT gives McCormick a 20.1% chance to go yard, giving us a 4% edge in the odds.

He'll tentatively face the Roayls' Jordan Lyles (unconfirmed) and if he does, we're in for a treat. Lyles has given up 38 home runs this year at a rate of 2.06 HR/9. Even if he doesn't start, the Royals' bullpen has allowed the fifth-most homers this year with 78. There's a slight home run boost from the weather to both left and right field and Chas hits 'em to both sides. Like our next leg, the Astros are thick in a playoff race and should be firing on all cylinders tonight.

⚾️ Predictions for Royals vs. Astros
📈 Royals vs. Astros Betting Preview

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Mariners vs. Rangers 7:05PM ET

LEG 2: Corey Seager 1+ HR (+300) with bet365

You wouldn't know it because Shohei Ohtani ran away with the AL MVP award a long time ago, but Corey Seager is actually the second favorite at a distant +2200. Seager has hit 32 home runs in just 499 plate appearances this year which is impressive stuff considering his career high is 33 across 663 PAs last season. He's got a ridiculous 1.036 OPS on the season and hit seven homers in September. Every single one of his home run metrics is in the top 7% or higher of the league, including a 99th percentile xSLG.

Seager is a stronger hitter against righties like the Mariners' Logan Gilbert, with 25 of his homers off right-handers. Gilbert has a 1.36 HR/9 this year with a total of 27 bombs allowed. DimersBOT projects Walker with a 26% probability to go yard tonight which is right in line with the implied probability by the odds. This is a deadlocked AL West race and this should be a playoff atmosphere.

⚾️ Predictions for Mariners vs. Rangers
📈 Mariners vs. Rangers Betting Preview

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MLB +2400 Home Run Parlay Saturday, September 23, 2023

1️⃣ Chas McCormick 1+ HR
2️⃣ Corey Seager 1+ HR

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