Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Saturday [8/5/2023]

Welcome to another day of big hits as we look to keep our hot streak rolling with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Saturday, August 5. Saturday's parlay features a pair of sluggers from the Rockies vs. Cardinals and Dodgers vs. Padres games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Best Bets Today from All Sports - Saturday, August 5

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM ➡️here⬅️ where you can bet this HR parlay risk-free up to $1000. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer. At the time of this publishing, you will find today's best odds on FanDuel at +2105.

MLB +2105 Home Run Parlay For Saturday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Nolan Arenado 1+ HR	+350
Juan Soto 1+ HR	+390

MORE: Best A.I. Prop Picks and Lotto Parlay for Saturday, August 5

Saturday MLB Parlay Analysis

Rockies vs. Cardinals 7:15PM ET

LEG 1: Nolan Arenado 1+ HR (+350) with FanDuel

Starting us off is Nolan Arenado, just one of the many players our model loves in this matchup. Arenado gets a 25% chance to hit a home run from DimersBOT. Owner of 23 home runs so far this season, the former NL MVP collected his first of the month last night and we're looking for him to go back-to-back (just like our next guy). He favors the shorter confines of left field which should be just fin in today's neutral-weather environment.

He'll face Rockies' Ty Blach who's been used sparingly this year, compiling just 21.1 innings while giving up a pair of dingers. He did have his longest outing of the year last time out against the A's so it's up in the air whether or not we'll see him pitch the bulk of this game or not. Either way, the Rockies' bullpen has allowed 52 home runs all season, tied for fifth-most in MLB.

⚾️ Rockies vs. Cardinals Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Rockies vs. Guardians

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Dodgers vs. Padres 8:40PM ET

LEG 2: Juan Soto 1+ HR (+390) with FanDuel

Our second leg is another guy who's been absolutely mashing the ball, Padres OF Juan Soto. The Childish Bambino had a slow start to the season, hitting just .202 through April. Then, he turned it on. Soto cranked it up to .333 in May and hasn't looked back, raising his average by 70 points to his now season-high of .276. Alas, we care about the homers in this column, of which Soto has racked up 24 thus far. He's hit one in three-straight games, for a total of four in three days. That means he has four already in August and he hasn't hit more than 6 in any month so far. He can hit 'em all over the park and boasts a no-doubter percentage of 45.8 (gone in all 30 parks).

Tonight, he'll face Dodgers starter Michael Grove for the first time so far in his career. Grove has allowed 12 homers in 62.2 innings this season. He's given up an equal number between right-handed and left-handed batters, but Soto is significantly stronger as a hitter against righties like Grove, who is coming off a three-homer outing against the Reds. Soto is on fire, gets a great matchup and we get an edge in the odds as our model gives him a 21.9% chance to hit a bomb tonight.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Saturday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

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MLB +2105 Home Run Parlay Saturday, August 5, 2023

1️⃣ Nolan Arenado 1+ HR
2️⃣ Juan Soto 1+ HR

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

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