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Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Saturday [8/19/2023]
Welcome to another day of big hits as we look to keep our hot streak rolling with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Saturday, August 19. Saturday's parlay features a pair of sluggers from the Giants vs. Braves and Orioles vs. Athletics games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets.
MORE: Best Bets Today from All Sports - Saturday, August 19
Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.
Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.
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At the time of this publishing, you will find today's best odds on PointsBet at +4025.
MLB +4025 Home Run Parlay For Saturday
PARLAY PICKS | ODDS |
Austin Riley 1+ HR |
+450 |
Adley Rutschman 1+ HR |
+650 |
MORE: Best A.I. Prop Picks and Lotto Parlay for Saturday, August 19
Saturday MLB Parlay Analysis
Giants vs. Braves 7:20PM ET
LEG 1: Austin Riley 1+ HR (+450) with PointsBet
Where better to start than with the team that has the most home runs in all of Major League Baseball? The Braves are on a record pace with 232 homers hit so far this season. That's 40 more than the next team, which happens to be the Dodgers. We're going with the slugger on the hot corner, Austin Riley in this one. Riley gets a 22% chance to go yard tonight which gives us a 4% edge in the best available odds. He's one of the hottest hitters in baseball, with nine home runs in the past month.
He's up against the Giants who will send Logan Webb to the mound. Webb is having a good season but he's still given up 17 home runs and has a HardHit % in the bottom-ninth percentile of the league. He's worse against right-handed batters and Riley has hit 22 of his 29 home runs off of right-handed pitchers like Webb. Through 11 at-bats, Riley has a .364 average against Webb, as well.
βΎοΈ Giants vs. Braves Predictions
π Betting preview: Giants vs. Braves
Orioles vs. Athletics 9:07PM ET
LEG 2: Adley Rutschman 1+ HR (+650) with PointsBet
To close out the parlay we go to the west coast for the final game of the slate and lock in Adley Rutschman to hit a bomb against the hapless Athletics. Rutschman has smacked 16 homers this year, passing last year's rookie mark of 13 in just as many games. He hits absolute bombs, too, with all but three of them going for 400+ feet. He's a switch-hitter so he can line up as needed against any pitcher he faces tonight, be it the Athletics' bottom-of-the-barrel bullpen (67 home runs allowed) or tonight's scheduled starter, Ken Waldichuk.
Waldichuk has allowed 16 home runs in just 99.1 innings of work this season at a rate of 1.45 HR/9. Most of his home runs did come earlier in the season, but he's still vulnerable without any of his home run-applicable pitching metrics in the upper half of the league. As mentioned, the A's bullpen gives up the second-most home runs in baseball and with Rutschman leading off for the Orioles, we'll have the most opportunities possible to cash.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Saturday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section
MLB +4025 Home Run Parlay Saturday, August 19, 2023
1οΈβ£ Austin Riley 1+ HR
2οΈβ£ Adley Rutschman 1+ HR
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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing
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