Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Monday [9/25/2023]

 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Brandon Drury 1+ HR	+500
Kyle Tucker 1+ HR	+470

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Rangers vs. Angels - 9:38PM EST

LEG 1: Brandon Drury 1+ HR (+500) with FanDuel

We've got about as lean of an MLB slate as can be tonight, but we've still found a pair of home run props that deserve attention. Journeyman Brandon Drury gets the call from DimersBOT tonight in the Rangers vs. Angels game. The Angels are simply going through the motions at this point, with both their star players, Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, shut down for the season, so we turn to the veteran slugger who's quietly picked up 23 home runs this season, the second-highest mark of his career. Drury has hit four of those home runs this month and 19 of them off right-handed pitcher like he'll face tonight.

The Rangers send Jon Gray and his 1.25 HR/9 to the mound as the Rangers look to slam the door shut on the rest of the AL West. He's given up the majority of his home runs off the fastball which Drury hits quite well. DimersBOT gives him a 17.4% chance to go yard tonight which falls right in line with the probability implied by his +500 odds. Plus, the Rangers' bullpen has allowed the second-most HRs this year with 83. 

⚾️ Rangers vs. Angels Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Rangers vs. Angels

---

Astros vs. Mariners - 9:38PM EST

LEG 1: Kyle Tucker 1+ HR (+470) with FanDuel

A man who needs no introduction as he has come through for us time and time again, Kyle Tucker is the second leg of Monday's home run parlay. Tucker is having the best season of his career. He's posted career-high marks nearly across the board offensively and is two home runs shy of tying his best mark of 30 from the past two seasons. He's as consistent as they come and the Astros are deadlocked in a race with the Mariners for the final Wild Card spot. 

Tucker will face Luis ACstillo tonight who's been great this season except for one thing: home runs. He's given up 26 at a rate of 1.24 HR/9 which isn't terrible but his metrics all suggest that he's vulnerable to the home run ball, with his Barrel %, HardHit % and Avg Exit Velocity in the bottom third of the league. 18 of those home runs have come from lefties like Tucker, who has one home run and a .333 average in 9 PAs vs. Castillo. Meanwhile, Tucker launched his home runs exclusively to right field, where we're seeing a slight weather boost in T-Mobile Park tonight. He's all but guaranteed at least four plate appearances

⚾️ Astros vs. Mariners Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Astros vs. Mariners

---

+3320 MLB Home Run Parlay Monday, September 25, 2023

1️⃣ Brandon Drury 1+ HR
2️⃣ Kyle Tucker 1+ HR

RELATED: Best Bets Today

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Monday via our MLB predictions, where we deliver you the best MLB bets today, MLB betting trends and MLB player props, or check out the MLB News section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.