Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Monday [7/31/2023]

A new week begins and we're looking to keep our hot form rolling after hitting two HR parlays last week with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Monday, July 31. Tonight's parlay features players from the Phillies vs. Marlins and Angels vs. Braves games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Monday's MLB Best Props and Lotto Parlay

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM ➡️here⬅️ where you can bet this HR parlay and get your first wager up to $1000 back if it loses. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer. You will find the best odds for today's parlay on DraftKings, however.

+2720 MLB Home Run Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Marcell Ozuna 1+ HR	+370
Alex Bregman 1+ HR	+500

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Angels vs. Braves - 7:20PM EST

LEG 1: Marcell Ozuna 1+ HR (+370) with DraftKings

We get started with a battle that features plenty of home run potential and take Marcell Ozuna to hit a home run. Ozuna is a pure home run hitter; he has 22 home runs so far this season and his Barrel % and Max Exit Velo are in the 94th percentile or higher in the league. He can hit them to both side of the park though he favors left field despite its slightly longer dimensions in Truist Park. He's on a home run tear with one in three straight, for a total of four in that span. 

He was due to bat against the Angels' Griffin Canning, who is a prime home run target, but he's been scratched in favor of Chase Silseth who has been used in limited work this season as he's bounced back and forth from the bigs to the minors. He's allowed four home runs through his 24.1 innings of work with the Angels. It's possible he pitches just a few innings to open the game but that's okay, because the Angels are a bottom-ten bullpen in terms of home runs allowed, so we have opportunities to collect one late.

⚾️ Guardians vs. Astros Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Guardians vs. Astros

---

MORE: Today's Best Bets Across MLB - Monday, July 31

Guardians vs. Astros - 8:10PM EST

LEG 1: Alex Bregman 1+ HR (+500) with DraftKings

To finish us off, we're tasking Astros vet Alex Bregman to clobber one in his home park. Breggy is hot right now, hitting six of his 18 home runs this season in the past 15 days, including a stretch where he hit one three nights in a row. After an uncharacteristically slow start to the season, he's picked up his home run pace in each successive month. He smacks all of his home runs to a nice left field cluster, which just so happens to be Minute Maid Park's shortest porch in a generally hitter-friendly stadium. Bregman has hit 14 of his home runs off of righties, and he gets a great matchup with one tonight.

Noah Syndergaard makes his debut for the Guardians of Cleveland. The once Mighty Thor has struggled with injuries and performance since his peak days as a Met and will now have pitched for his fourth team since the start of the 2022 season. He's mustered just 55.1 innings through 12 starts and has given up 12 homers this season, including his last three starts before he hit the injured list. He's set to be reinstated from the IL for tonight's start so he's a great target for Bregman who will be looking to stay hot as the Astros chase control in the AL West.

⚾️ Guardians vs. Astros Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Guardians vs. Astros

---

+2720 MLB Home Run Parlay Monday, July 31, 2023

1️⃣ Marcell Ozuna 1+ HR
2️⃣ Alex Bregman 1+ HR

RELATED: MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet for Monday

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Monday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.