Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Monday [7/24/2023]

A new week begins and we're looking to keep our hot form rolling after hitting two HR parlays last week with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Monday, July 24. Tonight's parlay features players from the Blue Jays vs. Dodgers game as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Monday's MLB Best Props and Lotto Parlay

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+1950 MLB Home Run Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
Daulton Varsho 1+ HR	+400
Mookie Betts 1+ HR	+310

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays - 10:10PM EST

LEG 1: Mookie Betts 1+ HR (+310) with FanDuel

It wasn't the finish we wanted to a great week of Home Run betting yesterday, but we are feeling fantastic about our model's favorite plays for Monday night, starting with Mookie Betts to go yard in the last game of the night against Toronto this evening. Betts faces Jose Berrios, who he is extremely familiar with, registering seven hits in 16 at-bats in their careers, good for a .438 batting average.

More importantly though, Mookie has two homers in that span against Berrios, and he will be swinging for the fences tonight. Berrios gave up six homers in both May and June, and somehow this month he has yet to be homered against. That could all change tonight, and if the numbers average out, Mookie will be doing the damage.

MORE: Today's Best Bets Across All Sports - Monday, July 24

LEG 2: Daulton Varsho 1+ HR (+400) with FanDuel

For our second leg, we are adding one of DimersBOT's favorite plays of the entire slate - Daulton Varsho to hit a home run. Varsho only has five career plate appearances against the Dodgers' Michael Grove, but impressively he is hitting .600 in those at-bats with two homers already!

Varsho has as much pop with the bat as anyone in this Toronto lineup, and our model agrees, ranking Varsho as the most likely player in this game to hit one out. Varsho has a 33.6% probability to hit a dinger, good for a 14.5% edge on his +425 odds tonight. Pair it with Mookie and we end up with a +1950 Home Run parlay for Monday night. Let it fly!

⚾️ Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

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+1950 MLB Home Run Parlay Monday, July 24, 2023

1️⃣ Mookie Betts 1+ HR
2️⃣ Daulton Varsho 1+ HR

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*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Monday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

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