Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Monday [7/17/2023]

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Written by Greg Waddell
Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Monday [7/17/2023]

A new week begins and we're looking to keep our hot form rolling after hitting two HR parlays last week with our MLB Home Run Parlay for Monday, July 17. Tonight's parlay features players from the Yankees vs. Angels game as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Monday's MLB Best Props and Lotto Parlay

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM ➡️here⬅️ where you can bet this HR parlay and get your first wager up to $1000 back if it loses. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer. You will find the best odds for today's parlay on FanDuel, however.

 

+1688 MLB Home Run Parlay For Monday

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR

+225

Anthony Rizzo 1+ HR

+450

Monday MLB Parlay Analysis

Yankees vs. Angels - 9:38PM EST

LEG 1: Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR (+225) with FanDuel

Shohei put on a show last night, homering in his final at-bat and we simply have to continue riding the Ohtani wave until he gives us reason to switch things up. The Angels face Yankees starter Luis Severino, who is giving up 2.35 homers per nine innings pitched, which is the second-highest of any pitcher on the slate tonight.

Ohtani is an absolute superstar, and with 34 home runs already on the season he will be looking for more tonight. Our model gives him a 34% probability, which makes his +225 odds tasty to kick off our HR parlay.

MORE: Today's Best Bets Across All Sports - Monday, July 17

LEG 2: Anthony Rizzo 1+ HR (+450) with FanDuel

We're staying in the same game for leg #2, as the Yankees' Anthony Rizzo will be looking to hit one deep off of Angels starter Griffin Canning. Canning has allowed 15 homers on the season, which is the second-most of all pitchers on tonight's slate.

Historically, Rizzo has only faced Canning once, but he has a hit in just three plater appearances, and we believe he will be aiming to take one deep tonight. At +450 odds, this presents one of the tastiest value bets in a matchup that we absolutely love. Lock it in!

⚾️ Angels vs. Yankees Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Angels vs. Yankees


+1688 MLB Home Run Parlay Monday, July 17, 2023

1️⃣ Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR
2️⃣ Anthony Rizzo 1+ HR

RELATED: Analyzing MLB Awards Markets Post-All-Star Break

 

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Monday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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