Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [9/8/23]

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MLB +3450 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS	ODDS
DJ LeMahieu 1+ HR	+900
Max Muncy 1+ HR	+255

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Brewers vs. Yankees 7:05PM ET

LEG 1: DJ LeMahieu 1+ HR (+900) with FanDuel

We start off in the Bronx as we task DJ LeMahieu to hit a bomb in the weather-boosted Yankee Stadium. With the short porch in right field getting a 24% boost from Ballpark Pal, there's no better time to target a guy who isn't known for hitting home runs but is smacking them lately. DJ has smacked 7 home runs in the past two weeks with over a .900 OPS in that span. He favors the short porch and right-handed pitchers, and he gets both tonight.

Colin Rea takes the mound for the Brewers with a 1.81 HR/9 this season. He's allowed at least one home run in seven straight starts, including multiple in his past three. Our model gives LeMahieu a 15% chance to hit a homer tonight, giving us a decent 4% edge for a prop that shouldn't be any better than +600.

⚾️ Predictions for Brewers vs. Yankees
📈 Brewers vs. Yankees Betting Preview

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Dodgers vs. Nationals 7:05PM ET

LEG 2: Max Muncy 1+ HR (+255) with FanDuel

A rare Dodgers home run prop that isn't in the nightcap, we look to Max Muncy to slug one in our nation's capitol as Los Angeles visits the Nationals. Muncy has (somewhat quietly) clubbed 32 homers this year, which would lead the entire team if not for Mookie Betts and his 38. Muncy is such an interesting player because he's basically Joey Gallo with hot streaks. He's hitting just .204 even though he closed August with a 10-game hit streak but has a respectable .333 OBP.

Tonight, he'll face the Nationals' Mackenzie Gore, who's allowed 23 home runs this year with a 1.57 HR/9. Even bette,r the Nationals bullpen is the worst in all of MLB in terms of home runs allowed, having given up 83 so far this season, so we'll have an opportunity late into this one as well. Our model projects Muncy for a 27% chance of hitting a home run tonight.

⚾️ Predictions for Dodgers vs. Nationals
📈 Dodgers vs. Nationals Betting Preview

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MLB +3450 Home Run Parlay Friday, September 8, 2023

1️⃣ DJ LeMahieu 1+ HR
2️⃣ Max Muncy 1+ HR

MORE: Calling Our Shot's Parlay for Friday

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