Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [7/28/23]

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Written by Greg Waddell
Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [7/28/23]

We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, July 28. Tonight's parlay features players from the Braves vs. Brewers and Phillies vs. Pirates games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets. 

MORE: Friday's MLB Player Props and Predictions

If you haven't already, sign up for BetMGM➡️here⬅️where you can bet this HR parlay and get up to $1000 back if it loses. It is by far the best promo out there to bet on baseball this Summer.

 

RELATED: Best Bets Today for All Sports - Friday, July 28

MLB +2705 Home Run Parlay For Friday 

PARLAY PICKS ODDS

Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR

+410

Eddie Rosario 1+ HR

+450

*All odds subject to change from time of publishing

Friday MLB Parlay Analysis

Phillies vs. Pirates 7:05PM ET

LEG 1: Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR (+410) with BetMGM

To say our MLB Home Run parlays are due for a big night would be an understatement. The good news is we absolutely love tonight's options, and it starts with Philadelphia's Kyle Schwarber. Scwarby is one of the biggest bats in the sport, and he's got a matchup tonight worth drooling over.

Scwarber and the Phils face Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller, who Schwarber has flat out destroyed in their careers head to head. Schwarber has faced Keller for 10 plate appearances, and has reached base seven times, with five total hits and two walks. He's still chasing his first career home run off of Keller and we believe tonight could be the night. DimersBOT ranks Schwarber as our third highest home run probability of the entire slate, at 23.7% probability with a 3.7% edge.

⚾️ Predictions for Phillies vs. Pirates
📈 Phillies vs. Pirates Betting Preview


Braves vs. Brewers 7:20PM ET

LEG 2: Eddie Rosario 1+ HR (+450) with BetMGM

Our second leg is actually the highest probability home run prop of the entire night according to DimersBOT. Atlanta's Eddie Rosario faces off against the Brewers, who will be starting Adrian Houser on the mound. Rosario has only faced Houser for seven at-bats in his career, but he has a home run already in those limited chances.

DimersBOT is all over this one, ranking Rosario with a whopping 32.9% probability to hit one out tonight, good for a massive 14.7% edge on his +450 odds, which is one of the highest edges we have seen all season. Lock it in and let's rock!

⚾️ Predictions for Braves vs. Brewers
📈 Braves vs. Brewers Betting Preview


MLB +2705 Home Run Parlay Friday, July 28, 2023

1️⃣ Kyle Schwarber 1+ HR
2️⃣ Eddie Rosario 1+ HR

 

MORE: Calling Our Shot's Parlay for Friday

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.

Remember to gamble responsibly and set limits on your betting activities. Set a budget for yourself and stick to it, and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Greg Waddell
Creative Strategist

Greg Waddell is a self-proclaimed college basketball addict, with an affinity for parlays and fantasy football trades. He's based in Michigan, where he hasn't seen one of his professional sports teams win anything of any importance since he was in diapers.

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