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Home Run Predictions, Props and Parlay for MLB Friday [7/21/23]
We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, July 21. Tonight's parlay features players from the Diamondbacks vs. Reds and Dodgers vs. Rangers games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets.
MORE: Friday's MLB Parlay from Calling Our Shot
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RELATED: Best Bets Today for All Sports - Friday, July 21
MLB +1663 Home Run Parlay For Friday
PARLAY PICKS | ODDS |
Corbin Carroll 1+ HR |
+330 |
Mookie Betts 1+ HR |
+310 |
*All odds subject to change from time of publishing
Friday MLB Parlay Analysis
Diamondbacks vs. Reds 7:10PM ET
LEG 1: Corbin Carroll 1+ HR (+330) with BetMGM
We kick off our +1663 Home Run parlay tonight with a superstar looking to go back to back. Corbin Carroll homered last night against the Braves and tonight, facing the MLB's other rookie sensation, Elly De La Cruz, Carroll will be looking to make his presence felt.
He's facing Reds starter Ben Lively, who has been absolutely demolished as of late, giving up eight homers in his last six starts. Going back even further, Lively has allowed multiple homers in 50% of his last eight appearances.
DimersBOT agrees this is a great matchup, ranking Carroll as a 35.7% probability to go yard, good for a massive 12.4% edge on his +330 odds. Take it to the bank!
⚾️ Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Reds
📈 Diamondbacks vs. Reds Betting Preview
Dodgers vs. Rangers 8:05PM ET
LEG 2: Mookie Betts 1+ HR (+310) with BetMGM
Up next is one of our highest probability plays of the night, Mookie Betts to homer. Despite a (relative) cold streak of four straight games without hitting a bomb, Mookie is tied for 4th in the majors with 27 dingers on the season.
He rarely goes this long without hitting one out, and tonight he gets to face Andrew Heaney, who has is very familiar with. Betts is hitting .357 against Heaney in 14 career at-bats, and he's looking for his first dinger against him. Luckily, Heaney has gotten shelled lately, giving up seven homers in his last five games, including three games with two or more dingers allowed.
DimersBOT is all over this one, marking Mookie as a 37.8% probability to homer, one of the highest of the night and good for a 12.4% edge. Time to rock!
⚾️ Predictions for Dodgers vs. Rangers
📈 Dodgers vs. Rangers Betting Preview
MLB +XXX Home Run Parlay Friday, July 21, 2023
1️⃣ Corbin Carroll 1+ HR
2️⃣ Mookie Betts 1+ HR
MORE: Top Five MLB Props and +6740 Lotto Parlay
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