Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, September 20

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

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Now, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports. For example, did you know that bettors can turn just $1 into $365 in bonus bets with bet365?

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Wednesday, September 20.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
COL : Chase Anderson (R) 0-5, ERA 6.00	SD Padres	17	75	2.04
CHW : Michael Kopech (R) 5-12, ERA 5.47	WSH Nationals	29	128.1	2.04
CLE : Lucas Giolito (R) 8-13, ERA 4.69	KC Royals	36	170.2	1.90
KC : Zack Greinke (R) 1-15, ERA 5.39	CLE Guardians	25	128.2	1.76
PHI : Aaron Nola (R) 12-9, ERA 4.62	ATL Braves	31	181	1.54
HOU : Cristian Javier (R) 9-4, ERA 4.74	BAL Orioles	25	146.1	1.54
MIA : Eury Perez (R) 5-5, ERA 3.06	NY Mets	14	88.1	1.43
MIN : Bailey Ober (R) 7-6, ERA 3.67	CIN Reds	20	127.2	1.42
CIN : Hunter Greene (R) 4-6, ERA 4.45	MIN Twins	15	97	1.39
WSH : Josiah Gray (R) 7-12, ERA 4.07	CHI White Sox	21	148	1.28
DET : Reese Olson (R) 4-7, ERA 4.30	LA Dodgers	13	92	1.27
LAA : Reid Detmers (L) 3-10, ERA 4.77	TB Rays	19	137.2	1.25
SD : Seth Lugo (R) 7-7, ERA 3.83	COL Rockies	18	131.2	1.23
BOS : Brayan Bello (R) 12-9, ERA 3.71	TEX Rangers	20	148	1.22
TEX : Jon Gray (R) 8-8, ERA 3.87	BOS Red Sox	19	149	1.15
MIL : Adrian Houser (R) 6-4, ERA 4.53	STL Cardinals	12	95.1	1.14
PIT : Mitch Keller (R) 12-9, ERA 4.04	CHI Cubs	22	182.2	1.09
SEA : George Kirby (R) 10-10, ERA 3.57	OAK Athletics	20	171.2	1.05
ARI : Merrill Kelly (R) 11-7, ERA 3.57	SF Giants	18	159	1.02
TOR : Kevin Gausman (R) 11-9, ERA 3.40	NY Yankees	19	172	0.99
STL : Zack Thompson (L) 5-5, ERA 4.34	MIL Brewers	6	56	0.96
LA : Bobby Miller (R) 10-3, ERA 4.02	DET Tigers	11	107.1	0.92
ATL : Bryce Elder (R) 12-4, ERA 3.50	PHI Phillies	17	167.1	0.92
SF : Logan Webb (R) 10-12, ERA 3.45	ARI D-Backs	20	201	0.90
BAL : Kyle Bradish (R) 11-7, ERA 3.12	HOU Astros	14	152.2	0.83
NYM : Kodai Senga (R) 11-7, ERA 2.95	MIA Marlins	14	155.1	0.81
TB : Aaron Civale (R) 7-3, ERA 3.06	LA Angels	10	117.2	0.77
NYY : Michael King (R) 4-5, ERA 2.77	TOR Blue Jays	7	87.2	0.72
CHC : Justin Steele (L) 16-4, ERA 3.05	PIT Pirates	13	165	0.71
OAK : TBD	SEA Mariners	-	-	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	13
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	12
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	11
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	11
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	11
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	10
J. Rogers (DET)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	87
TEX Rangers	2nd	83
OAK Athletics	3rd	79
DET Tigers	4th	78
KC Royals	5th	77

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
Austin Riley (ATL)	Aaron Nola (R)	54	5	.412
Marcell Ozuna (ATL)	Aaron Nola (R)	50	4	.250
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Aaron Nola (R)	53	4	.326
Mike Yastrzemski (SF)	Merrill Kelly (R)	39	3	.222
Paul Goldschmidt (STL)	Adrian Houser (R)	31	3	.286
Ramon Laureano (CLE)	Zack Greinke (R)	19	3	.421
Aaron Judge (NYY)	Kevin Gausman (R)	37	3	.300
Bo Naylor (CLE)	Zack Greinke (R)	3	2	.667
Michael Harris II (ATL)	Aaron Nola (R)	19	2	.167
Ryan McMahon (COL)	Seth Lugo (R)	10	2	.300
Nick Pratto (KC)	Lucas Giolito (R)	6	2	.750
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (NYY)	Kevin Gausman (R)	12	2	.455
Travis d'Arnaud (ATL)	Aaron Nola (R)	37	2	.167
Ian Happ (CHC)	Mitch Keller (R)	24	2	.421
Kole Calhoun (CLE)	Zack Greinke (R)	26	2	.480
Justin Turner (BOS)	Jon Gray (R)	47	2	.357

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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