Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, September 13

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, September 13

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

Now, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that new users at PointsBet can score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet? That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season, and you get to rep your team's gear afterwards.

 

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
  • The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Wednesday, September 13.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
K. Harrison (SF) CLE Guardians 6 20.1 2.69
D. Rom (STL) BAL Orioles 4 17.1 2.11
T. Bradley (TB) MIN Twins 17 86.0 1.78
J. Taillon (CHC) COL Rockies 24 133.1 1.62
T. Blach (COL) CHI Cubs 10 59.0 1.53
Y. Kikuchi (TOR) TEX Rangers 24 148.2 1.46
C. Sanchez (PHI) ATL Braves 13 80.0 1.46
J. Lucchesi (NYM) ARI D-Backs 4 28.0 1.29
L. Castillo (SEA) LA Angels 25 175.1 1.28
H. Brown (HOU) OAK Athletics 20 141.1 1.28
C. Schmidt (NYY) BOS Red Sox 20 140.2 1.28
T. Houck (BOS) NY Yankees 12 87.0 1.24
L. Allen (CLE) SF Giants 15 117.1 1.15
B. Garrett (MIA) MIL Brewers 18 143.2 1.13
S. Strider (ATL) PHI Phillies 20 162.0 1.11
K. Bradish (BAL) STL Cardinals 20 168.2 1.07
M. Clevinger (CWS) KC Royals 12 108.2 1.00
Z. Gallen (ARI) NY Mets 20 187.2 0.96
J. Montgomery (TEX) TOR Blue Jays 17 161.2 0.95
C. Phillips (CIN) *AAA stats* DET Tigers 10 105.0 0.86
B. Snell (SD) LA Dodgers 15 161.0 0.84
E. Rodriguez (DET) CIN Reds 12 130.1 0.83
P. Blackburn (OAK) HOU Astros 8 92.2 0.78
S. Cruz (KC) *AAA stats* CHI White Sox 4 49.2 0.73
D. Keuchel (MIN) TB Rays 2 26.1 0.69
T. Megill (MIL) MIA Marlins 2 29.1 0.62
R. Pepiot (LAD) SD Padres 1 21.0 0.43
WSH - TBD PIT Pirates  -  -
PIT - TBD WSH Nationals  - -  -

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

 

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS) HR
T. Turner (PHI) Last 30 14
K. Schwarber (PHI) Last 30 13
J. Rodriguez (SEA) Last 30 11
M. Ozuna (ATL) Last 30 11
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL) Last 30 11
C. Seager (TEX) Last 30 10
D. Stewart (NYM) Last 30 10
B. Harper (PHI) Last 30 10
P. Alonso (NYM) Last 30 9
A. Judge (NYY) Last 30 9
S. Torkelson (DET) Last 30 9
J. Altuve (HOU) Last 15 6
W. Contreras (STL) Last 15 6
M. Olson (ATL) Last 7 6
M. Semien (TEX) Last 7 4
L. O'Hoppe (LAA) Last 7 4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals 1st 84
TEX Rangers 2nd 81
OAK Athletics T-3rd 74
KC Royals T-3rd 74
BOS Red Sox T-4th 73
LA Angels T-4th 73
CHI White Sox 5th 72

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER OPP. PITCHER PLATE APPEARANCES HR AVG
Y. Alvarez (HOU) P. Blackburn (OAK) 12 3 .333
T. Hernandez (SEA) J. Suarez (LAA)* 9 3 .556
C. Taylor (LAD) B. Snell (SD) 29 3 .250
A. Bregman (HOU) P. Blackburn (OAK) 14 2 .200
M. Moniak (LAA) L. Castillo (SEA) 6 2 .333
S. Perez (KC) M. Clevinger (CWS) 22 2 .227
M. Moustakas (LAA) L. Castillo (SEA) 14 2 .385
B. Bichette (TOR) J. Montgomery (TEX) 15 2 .429
W. Smith (LAD) B. Snell (SD) 33 2 .250
K. Schwarber (PHI) S. Strider (ATL) 18 1 .214
A. Bohm (PHI) S. Strider (ATL) 13 1 .231
A. Kirk (TOR) J. Montgomery (TEX) 9 1 .429
B. Marsh (PHI) S. Strider (ATL) 8 1 .500
V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR) J. Montgomery (TEX) 17 1 .267
E. Suarez (SEA) J. Suarez (LAA)* 12 1 .364
R. Devers (BOS) C. Schmidt (NYY) 11 1 .400
M. Canha (MIL) B. Garrett (MIA) 9 1 .500
M. Semien (TEX) Y. Kikuchi (TOR) 25 1 .240
T. France (SEA) J. Suarez (LAA)* 20 1 .353
J. Altuve (HOU) P. Blackburn (OAK) 15 1 .462
K. Marte (ARI) J. Lucchesi (NYM) 20 1 .438
M. Betts (LAD) B. Snell (SD) 60 1 .225

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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