Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, July 26

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Calling Our Shot's MLB Parlay of the Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Wednesday, July 26

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
L. Lynn (CHW)	CHI Cubs	28	115	2.2
Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	LA Dodgers	22	103.1	1.9
J. Ryan (MIN)	SEA Mariners	19	118.1	1.4
A. Heaney (TEX)	HOU Astros	18	96.1	1.7
F. Peralta (MIL)	CIN Reds	18	103	1.6
S. Strider (ATL)	BOS Red Sox	16	116.2	1.2
S. Alcantara (MIA)	TB Rays	14	126.1	1.0
B. Bello (BOS)	ATL Braves	13	90	1.3
J. Oviedo (PIT)	SD Padres	13	111.1	1.1
B. Lively (CIN)	MIL Brewers	12	60.1	1.8
Z. Eflin (TB)	MIA Marlins	11	112.1	0.9
J. Irvin (WSH)	COL Rockies	10	68.1	1.3
T. Gonsolin (LAD)	TOR Blue Jays	10	77.2	1.2
P. Lambert (COL)	WSH Nationals	9	39	2.1
S. Lugo (SD)	PIT Pirates	9	75	1.1
A. Marsh (KC)	CLE Guardians	8	20.1	3.6
H. Harris (OAK)	SF Giants	6	53	1.0
G. Williams (CLE)	KC Royals	4	33.2	1.1
C. Rodon (NYY)	NY Mets	4	14.2	2.5

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	11
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	11
J. Martinez (LAD)	Last 30	9
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	8
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 15	5
T. Casas (BOS)	Last 15	5
C. McCormick (HOU)	Last 15	5
J. Soto (SD)	Last 15	5
W. Flores (SF)	Last 15	5
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 7	4
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 7	4
M. Muncy (LAD)	Last 7	4
F. Freeman (LAD)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	T-1st	56
OAK Athletics	T-1st	56
NY Mets	T-2nd	49
DET Tigers	T-2nd	49
TB Rays	T-3rd	48
CHI White Sox	T-3rd	48
TOR Blue Jays	T-3rd	48
MIA Marlins	4th	47
CIN Reds	5th	46

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
J. Abreu (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	21	4	.333
M. Canha (NYM)	C. Rodon (NYY)	10	2	.222
J. Martinez (LAD)	Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	10	2	.222
P. Wisdom (CHC)	L. Lynn (CHW)	3	2	.667
F. Lindor (NYM)	C. Rodon (NYM)	37	2	.294
J. Altuve (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	32	2	.355
E. Duran (TEX)	F. Valdez (HOU)	12	1	.250
N. Arenado (STL)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	9	1	.375
J. Votto (CIN)	F. Peralta (MIL)	18	1	.267
I. Happ (CHC)	L. Lynn (CHW)	14	1	.308
T. Mancini (CHC)	L. Lynn (CHW)	14	1	.333
C. Yelich (MIL)	B. Lively (CIN)	12	1	.364
M. Dubon (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	10	1	.400
K. Newman (CIN)	F. Peralta (MIL)	15	1	.333
A. Garcia (TEX)	F. Valdez (HOU)	25	1	.250

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