Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, July 19

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Today's Top MLB Props

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
A. Gomber (COL)	HOU Astros	21	59.1	1.5
D. Kremer (BAL)	LA Dodgers	20	104	1.7
T. Williams (WSH)	CHI Cubs	19	93.2	1.8
L. Castillo (SEA)	MIN Twins	17	112.1	1.4
K. Waldichuk (OAK)	BOS Red Sox	15	110.1	1.2
J. Urias (LAD)	BAL Orioles	14	70.1	1.8
R. Nelson (ARI)	ATL Braves	14	99.1	1.3
C. Rea (MIL)	PHI Phillies	13	80.1	1.5
G. Ashcraft (CIN)	SF Giants	13	87.2	1.3
J. Gray (TEX)	TB Rays	13	99	1.2
R. Hill (PIT)	CLE Guardians	13	104	1.1
J. Berrios (TOR)	SD PAdres	13	113.1	1.0
S. Alcantara (MIA)	STL Cardinals	13	120	1.0
R. Stripling (SF)	CIN Reds	12	45.2	2.4
Y. Darvish (SD)	TOR Blue Jays	11	91	1.1
B. Bielak (HOU)	COL Rockies	10	59.1	1.5
B. Bello (BOS)	OAK Athletics	10	86	1.1
K. Hendricks (CHC)	WSH Nationals	8	58	1.2
C. Sanchez (PHI)	MIL Brewers	5	30.1	1.5
K. Maeda (MIN)	SEA Mariners	4	36	1.0

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
L. Robert (CHW)	Last 30	10
M. Machado (SD)	Last 15	7
F Alvarez (NYM)	Last 15	6
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 15	5
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 15	5
N. Arenado (BOS)	Last 15	5
J. Naylor (CLE)	Last 7	4
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	54
OAK Athletics	2nd	53
NY Mets	T-3rd	47
CHI White Sox	T-3rd	47
TOR Blue Jays	T-4th	46
TB Rays	T-4th	46
DET Tigers	5th	44
MIA Marlins	6th	42

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
G. Springer (TOR)	Y. Darvish (SD)	22	3	.409
B. Drury (LAA)	C. Rodon (NYY)	8	2	.286
C. Bellinger (CHC)	T. Williams (WSH)	12	2	.300
D. Varsho (TOR)	Y. Darvish (SD)	23	2	.191
M. Semien (TEX)	T. Glasnow (TB)	9	2	.444
B. Belt (TOR)	Y. Darvish (SD)	21	2	.333
Y. Grandal (CHW)	J. Verlander (NYM)	12	1	.333
C. Walker (ARI)	C. Morton (ATL)	8	1	.429
M. Machado (SD)	J. Berrios (TOR)	13	1	.417
T. Barnhart (CHC)	T. Williams (WSH)	19	1	.333
J. Ramirez (CLE)	R. Hill (PIT)	13	1	.546

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