Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, August 9

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, August 9

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Today's Best Bets Across All Sports - Wednesday, August 9

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Before jumping on these plays, make sure you check out Bet365's new customer offer! You can get $200 in bonus bets when you bet just $1. You're not going to find a better offer than that, as you barely have to put anything on the line to boost up your bankroll!  

This offer is available to users in NJ, CO, VA, IA and OH

 

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
  • The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in MLB - Wednesday, August 9

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
J. Lyles (KC) BOS Red Sox 23 118.1 1.75
M. Gore (WSH) PHI Phillies 18 112.0 1.45
S. Ohtani (LAA) SF Giants 18 124.2 1.30
C. Javier (HOU) BAL Orioles 17 112.2 1.36
G. Ashcraft (CIN) MIA Marlins 17 113.0 1.35
Y. Darvish (SD) SEA Mariners 16 114.1 1.26
N. Pivetta (BOS) KC Royals 15 92.1 1.46
C. Flexen (COL) MIL Brewers 15 50.2 2.66
B. Ober (MIN) DET Tigers 14 103.2 1.22
K. Gausman (TOR) CLE Guardians 14 132.2 0.95
M. Kelly (ARI) LA Dodgers 13 112.0 1.04
J. Montgomery (TEX) OAK Athletics 13 127.0 0.92
M. Lorenzen (PHI) WSH Nationals 12 113.2 0.95
M. Clevinger (CHW) NY Yankees 10 72.1 1.24
K. Hendricks (CHC) NY Mets 10 81.1 1.11
L. Allen (CLE) TOR Blue Jays 10 86.1 1.04
J. Flaherty (BAL) HOU Astros 10 115.2 0.78
D. Peterson (NYM) CHI Cubs 9 65.1 1.24
A. Houser (MIL) COL Rockies 8 73.0 0.99
A. Faedo (DET) MIN Twins 7 35.2 1.77
B. Miller (LAD) ARI D-Backs 6 63.1 0.85
Q. Priester (PIT) ATL Braves 5 19.2 2.29
J. Cueto (MIA) CIN Reds 5 22.0 2.05
R. Walker (SF) LA Angels 5 39.1 1.14
A. Pruitt (OAK) TEX Rangers 5 43.0 1.05
J. Beeks (TB) STL Cardinals 4 37.1 0.96
D. Hudson (STL) TB Rays 2 26.1 0.68
M. Fried (ATL) PIT Pirates 2 32.0 0.56
NYY - TBD CHI White Sox      
SEA - TBD SD Padres      

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter Timeframe (last # of days) HR
A. Riley (ATL) Last 30 10
M. Olson (ATL) Last 30 10
J. Soto (SD) Last 30 9
S. Ohtani (LAA) Last 30 8
M. Machado (SD) Last 30 8
T. Casas (BOS) Last 30 8
G. Stanton (NYY) Last 30 8
K. Schwarber (PHI) Last 30 8
C. Bellinger (CHC) Last 30 8
P. Alonso (NYM) Last 15 8
D. Swanson (CHC) Last 15 7
G. Sanchez (SD) Last 15 6
M. Wallner (MIN) Last 15 6
R. Jeffers (MIN) Last 7 4
C. Seager (TEX) Last 7 4
L. Thomas (WSH) Last 7 4
J. Votto (CIN) Last 7 4
 

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics 1st 62
WSH Nationals 2nd 61
TB Rays T-3rd 56
CHI White Sox T-3rd 56
CIN Reds T-4th 55
ARI D-Backs T-4th 55
DET Tigers T-4th 55
COL Rockies 5th 54
LA Angels 6th 53
MIA Marlins T-7th 52
NY Mets T-7th 52

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter Opposing Pitcher Plate Appearances HR AVG
M. Betts (LAD) M. Kelly (ARI) 31 3 .259
B. McKinney (NYY) M. Clevinger (CHW) 9 2 .222
A. Benintendi (CHW) L. Severino (NYY)* 38 2 .382
J. Votto (CIN) J. Cueto (MIA) 12 1 .250
A. Judge (NYY) M. Clevinger (CHW) 11 1 .333
S. Perez (KC) N. Pivetta (BOS) 12 1 .333
J. Turner (BOS) J. Lyles (KC) 14 1 .444
T. Anderson (CHW) L. Severino (NYY)* 16 1 .313
E. Suarez (SEA) Y. Darvish (SD) 31 1 .207
R. Devers (BOS) J. Lyles (KC) 17 1 .353
F. Freeman (LAD) M. Kelly (ARI) 25 1 .333
C. Taylor (LAD) M. Kelly (ARI) 29 1 .286
W. Smith (LAD) M. Kelly (ARI) 30 1 .320
K. Calhoun (CLE) K. Gausman (TOR) 28 1 .346
M. Muncy (LAD) M. Kelly (ARI) 34 1 .400

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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