Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Wednesday, August 2

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Tuesday, August 2

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
S. Cecconi (ARI) *stats from minors*	SF Giants	23	103	2.01
Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	BAL Orioles	22	109.1	1.81
L. Giolito (LAA)	ATL Braves	22	126.1	1.57
J. Ryan (MIN)	STL Cardinals	21	122.0	1.55
D. Smyly (CHC)	CIN Reds	18	108	1.50
M. Gore (WSH)	MIL Brewers	17	106	1.44
K. Freeland (COL)	SD Padres	17	107	1.43
L. Webb (SF)	ARI D-Backs	17	141.2	1.08
L. Gilbert (SEA)	BOS Red Sox	16	124.2	1.16
B. Garrett (MIA)	PHI Phillies	15	106	1.27
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	TOR Blue Jays	13	62.1	1.88
S. McClanahan (TB)	NY Yankees	13	111	1.05
G. Cole (NYY)	TB Rays	13	136.1	0.86
K. Crawford (BOS)	SEA Mariners	12	77	1.40
D. Cease (CHW)	TEX Rangers	12	119.1	0.91
T. Gonsolin (LAD)	OAK Athletics	11	82.2	1.20
K. Senga (NYM)	KC Royals	11	105	0.94
Z. Wheeler (PHI)	MIA Marlins	10	125	0.72
D. Dunning (TEX)	CHI White Sox	10	107	0.84
J. Musgrove (SD)	COL Rockies	10	97.1	0.92
Y. Chirinos (ATL)	LA Angels	10	66.1	1.36
B. Williamson (CIN)	CHI Cubs	10	64.1	1.40
T. Bibee (CLE)	HOU Astros	9	89.2	0.9
W. Miley (MIL)	WSH Nationals	8	67.2	1.06
E. Rodriguez (DET)	PIT Pirates	8	88.1	0.82
H. Harris (OAK)	LA Dodgers	7	56.1	1.12
C. Ragans (KC)	NY Mets	4	29.1	1.23
D. Hudson (STL)	MIN Twins	1	19.1	0.47
O. Bido (PIT)	DET Tigers	1	30	0.30
TBD (HOU)	CLE Guardians	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	9
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 30	9
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	8
F. Alvarez (NYM)	Last 30	8
M. Muncy (LAD)	Last 15	6
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 15	6
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 15	5
A. Bregman (HOU)	Last 15	5
J. Soto (SD)	Last 15	5
D. Swanson (CHC)	Last 15	5
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 7	4
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	60
OAK Athletics	2nd	59
DET Tigers	3rd	54
TB Rays	4th	53
CHI White Sox	5th	52

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
R. Mountcastle (BAL)	Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	13	4	.500
T. Grisham (SD)	K. Freeland (COL)	27	3	.250
J. Siri (TB)	G. Cole (NYY)	6	2	.333
K. Higashioka (NYY)	S. McClanahan (TB)	8	2	.333
T. Turner (PHI)	B. Garrett (MIA)	5	2	.500
A. Rutschman (BAL)	Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	15	2	.273
A. Judge (NYY)	S. McClanahan (TB)	19	2	.222
R. McMahon (COL)	J. Musgrove (SD)	18	2	.286
M. Olson (ATL)	L. Giolito (LAA)	9	2	.444
J. Bell (MIA)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	35	2	.265
E. Rosario (ATL)	L. Giolito (LAA)	37	2	.265
R. Arozarena (TB)	G. Cole (NYY)	36	2	.294
G. Stanton (NYY)	S. McClanahan (TB)	13	1	.250
N. Senzel (CIN)	D. Smyly (CHC)	12	1	.250
A. Garcia (TEX)	D. Cease (CHW)	11	1	.273
A. Santander (BAL)	Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	14	1	.400
A. McCutchen (PIT)	E. Rodriguez (DET)	15	1	.385
G. Torres (NYY)	S. McClanahan (TB)	18	1	.375
F. Tatis Jr. (SD)	K. Freeland (COL)	24	1	.333
Y. Diaz (TB)	G. Cole (NYY)	50	1	.283

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

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