Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, September 5

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Tuesday, September 5

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
Mike Soroka ATL	STL	7	29.1	2.16
Brandon Pfaadt ARI	COL	17	71	2.15
Kyle Freeland COL	ARI	28	140.2	1.80
Alex Faedo DET	NYY	11	57	1.74
Andre Jackson PIT	MIL	8	42.1	1.71
Ken Waldichuk OAK	TOR	21	114	1.66
Patrick Corbin WAS	NYM	27	154.1	1.58
Brandon Woodruff MIL	PIT	7	40	1.58
Dean Kremer BAL	LAA	26	150	1.56
Chris Bassitt TOR	OAK	25	165.1	1.36
Kutter Crawford BOS	TB	15	103.2	1.31
Reid Detmers LAA	BAL	18	124	1.31
Clayton Kershaw LAD	MIA	16	112.1	1.28
Jesus Luzardo MIA	LAD	21	149.1	1.27
Bryce Miller SEA	CIN	14	107.2	1.18
Michael Lorenzen PHI	SD	17	137.2	1.12
Gerrit Cole NYY	DET	20	174	1.03
Brady Singer KC	CHW	16	143.1	1.01
Zach Eflin TB	BOS	16	150.2	0.96
Tanner Bibee CLE	MIN	13	124.2	0.94
Miles Mikolas STL	ATL	17	164.1	0.93
Dylan Cease CHW	KC	15	148.1	0.91
Ryan Walker SF	CHC	5	50	0.90
Kyle Hendricks CHC	SF	11	110.1	0.90
Framber Valdez HOU	TEX	16	167.2	0.86
Nathan Eovaldi TEX	HOU	8	123.2	0.58
Sonny Gray MIN	CLE	6	157	0.34
Pedro Avila SD	PHI	1	30.1	0.30
Connor Phillips CIN***	SEA	1	40.1	0.22
Jose Quintana NYM	WAS	1	47	0.19

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	12
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	11
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	11
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	10
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 30	10
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
M. Garver (TEX)	Last 15	7
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 15	7
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	Last 15	6
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	6

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	81
TEX Rangers	2nd	72
OAK Athletics	3rd	71
CHI White Sox	T-4th	70
LA Angels	T-4th	70
KC Royals	T-6th	69
DET Tigers	T-6th	69
NY Mets	T-8th	68
BOS Red Sox	T-8th	68

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
P. Alonso (NYM)	P. Corbin (WAS)	52	5	.326
J. Altuve (HOU)	N. Eovaldi (TEX)	39	3	.222
E. Longoria (ARI)	K. Freeland (COL)	44	3	.308
K. Marte (ARI)	K. Freeland (COL)	47	3	.325
M. Ozuna (ATL)	M. Mikolas (STL)	9	2	.375
R. Devers (BOS)	Z. Elfin (TB)	5	2	.800
J. Naylor (CLE)	S. Gray (MIN)	17	2	.375
M. Semien (TEX)	F. Valdez (HOU)	31	2	.250
C. Walker (ARI)	K. Freeland (COL)	33	2	.250
A. Duvall (BOS)	Z. Elfin (TB)	18	2	.389
N. Ahmed (ARI)	K. Freeland (COL)	41	2	.211

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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