Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, September 26

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Saturday, September 23.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
CHW : Jose Urena (R) 0-6, ERA 7.27	ARI D-Backs	12	34.2	3.16
SF : Kyle Harrison (L) 1-1, ERA 4.85	SD Padres	8	29.2	2.47
CLE : Lucas Giolito (R) 8-14, ERA 4.70	CIN Reds	37	176	1.89
COL : Chase Anderson 0-6, ERA 5.75	LA Dodgers	17	81.100	1.89
KC : Zack Greinke (R) 1-15, ERA 5.37	DET Tigers	25	132.1	1.70
TEX : Cody Bradford (L) 4-2, ERA 4.65	LA Angels	9	50.1	1.62
PHI : Aaron Nola (R) 12-9, ERA 4.57	PIT Pirates	31	187	1.49
HOU : Cristian Javier (R) 9-4, ERA 4.64	SEA Mariners	25	151.1	1.49
MIN : Bailey Ober (R) 7-6, ERA 3.66	OAK Athletics	21	132.2	1.43
CIN : Hunter Greene (R) 4-6, ERA 4.24	CLE Guardians	16	104	1.38
DET : Reese Olson (R) 5-7, ERA 4.13	KC Royals	14	98	1.29
SD : Seth Lugo (R) 7-7, ERA 3.79	SF Giants	19	137.2	1.25
WSH : Josiah Gray (R) 8-12, ERA 4.00	BAL Orioles	21	153	1.24
LAA : Reid Detmers (L) 3-10, ERA 4.64	TEX Rangers	19	141.2	1.21
BOS : Tanner Houck (R) 5-9, ERA 4.92	TB Rays	13	97	1.21
STL : Zack Thompson (L) 5-6, ERA 4.57	MIL Brewers	8	61	1.18
PIT : Mitch Keller (R) 13-9, ERA 4.25	PHI Phillies	24	188.1	1.15
SEA : George Kirby (R) 11-10, ERA 3.58	HOU Astros	22	178.2	1.11
MIL : Adrian Houser (R) 7-4, ERA 4.35	STL Cardinals	12	101.1	1.07
MIA : Braxton Garrett (L) 9-6, ERA 3.53	NY Mets	18	155.2	1.04
ARI : Zach Davies (R) 2-5, ERA 6.81	CHI White Sox	9	79.1	1.02
ATL : Bryce Elder (R) 12-4, ERA 3.63	CHI Cubs	19	171	1.00
TOR : Kevin Gausman (R) 12-9, ERA 3.29	NY Yankees	19	178	0.96
TB : Zach Eflin (R) 15-8, ERA 3.44	BOS Red Sox	18	172.2	0.94
OAK : Paul Blackburn (R) 4-6, ERA 4.29	MIN Twins	10	100.2	0.90
NYM : Joey Lucchesi (L) 3-0, ERA 2.88	MIA Marlins	4	40.2	0.90
LA : Bobby Miller (R) 10-4, ERA 3.97	COL Rockies	11	113.100	0.88
LA : Bobby Miller (R) 10-4, ERA 3.97	COL Rockies	11	113.1	0.88
BAL : Kyle Bradish (R) 11-7, ERA 3.01	WSH Nationals	14	158.2	0.80
CHC : Justin Steele (L) 16-5, ERA 3.32	ATL Braves	13	168	0.70
NYY : Michael King (R) 4-6, ERA 2.66	TOR Blue Jays	7	94.2	0.67
COL : Ryan Feltner (R) 2-3, ERA 5.13	LA Dodgers	2	40.1	0.45

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	12
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	11
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	10
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
N. Velasquez (KC)	Last 30	10
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 15	7
B. Rooker (OAK)	Last 15	6

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	92
LA Angels	T-2nd	83
TEX Rangers	T-2nd	83
DET Tigers	4th	82
KC Royals	5th	80
OAK Athletics	6th	79
BOS Red Sox	7th	78

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
Emmanuel Rivera (ARI)	Jose Urena (R)	8	3	.429
Paul Goldschmidt (STL)	Adrian Houser (R)	34	3	.290
Aaron Judge (NYY)	Kevin Gausman (R)	40	3	.290
Trayce Thompson (CHW)	Zach Davies (R)	12	2	.300
Jeimer Candelario (CHC)	Bryce Elder (R)	5	2	.750
Francisco Lindor (NYM)	Braxton Garrett (L)	12	2	.333
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (NYY)	Kevin Gausman (R)	12	2	.455
Rafael Devers (BOS)	Zach Eflin (R)	8	2	.625
Nick Castellanos (PHI)	Mitch Keller (R)	30	2	.259
Adam Duvall (BOS)	Zach Eflin (R)	20	2	.350

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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