Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, September 12

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Tuesday, September 12.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
COL : Chris Flexen	CHI Cubs	23	80.2	2.58
NYY : Carlos Rodon G2***	BOS Red Sox	12	46.1	2.34
LA : Lance Lynn	SD Padres	40	159.2	2.26
DET: Joey Wentz	CIN Reds	21	90.2	2.10
KC : Jordan Lyles G2***	CHI White Sox	35	155.2	2.03
STL : Adam Wainwright	BAL Orioles	20	89	2.02
OAK : JP Sears	HOU Astros	31	151.2	1.85
MIN : Joe Ryan	TB Rays	27	141	1.72
TEX : Max Scherzer	TOR Blue Jays	28	147.1	1.71
BOS : Nick Pivetta G1***	NY Yankees	22	117	1.69
PIT: Bailey Falter	WAS Nationals	13	71.2	1.64
ARI : Ryne Nelson	NY Mets	22	130.2	1.52
TB : Zack Littell	MIN Twins	11	71.1	1.39
CIN : Brandon Williamson	DET Tigers	15	98.2	1.37
NYY : Randy Vasquez G1***	BOS Red Sox	4	26.2	1.37
BOS : Kutter Crawford G2***	NY Yankees	16	107.1	1.34
WSH : Joan Adon	PIT Pirates	5	34	1.32
TOR : Hyun Jin Ryu	TEX Rangers	5	34	1.32
MIL : Freddy Peralta	MIA Marlins	22	150.1	1.32
SF : Sean Manaea	CLE Guardians	12	93.2	1.16
SEA : Bryan Woo	LA Angels	9	70	1.16
KC : Brady Singer G1***	CHI White Sox	19	148.1	1.15
CHW : Touki Toussaint G2***	KC Royals	9	70.2	1.15
CHC : Javier Assad	COL Rockies	11	92.1	1.07
HOU : Justin Verlander	OAK Athletics	16	136.1	1.06
CHW : Dylan Cease G1***	KC Royals	18	153.2	1.06
SD : Michael Wacha	LA Dodgers	12	111.1	0.97
CLE : Cal Quantrill	SF Giants	8	79	0.91
PHI : Zack Wheeler	ATL Braves	16	170	0.85
LAA : Patrick Sandoval	SEA Mariners	10	131.2	0.69
ATL : Max Fried	PHI Phillies	5	66.2	0.68
MIA : JT Chargois	MIL Brewers	2	34.2	0.53
NYM : Jose Butto	ARI D-Backs	1	21	0.43
BAL : John Means	STL Cardinals	-	-	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	13
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	13
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	11
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
D. Stewart (NYM)	Last 30	10
R. Acuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	9
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 7	5
L. O'Hoppe (LAA)	Last 7	4
M. Semien (TEX)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	84
TEX Rangers	2nd	80
OAK Athletics	T-3rd	74
KC Royals	T-3rd	74
BOS Red Sox	T-5th	73
LA Angels	T-5th	73
CHI White Sox	6th	72

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
A. Vaughn (CHW)	J. Lyles (KC)	15	3	.357
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	42	3	.250
G. Stanton (NYY)	N. Pivetta (BOS)	28	3	.357
J. Realmuto (PHI)	M. Fried (ATL)	41	3	.342
V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR)	M. Scherzer (TEX)	6	2	.333
G. Torres (NYY)	N. Pivetta (BOS)	15	2	.214
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	P. Sandoval (LAA)	9	2	.375
K. Tucker (HOU)	JP Sears (OAK)	7	2	.429
MJ Melendez (KC)	D. Cease (CHW)	12	2	.364
A. Judge (NYY)	N. Pivetta (BOS)	20	2	.333
A. Frazier (BAL)	A. Wainwright (STL)	34	2	.258
B. Harper (PHI)	M. Fried (ATL)	34	2	.310

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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