Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, July 25

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, July 25

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Tuesday's +2525 Home Run Parlay

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
  • The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
A. Gomber (COL) WSH Nationals 22 102 1.9
T. Williams (WSH) COL Rockies 20 98.2 1.8
M. Kopech (CHW) CHI Cubs 19 92.1 1.9
Z. Greinke (KC) CLE Guardians 18 96.2 1.7
C. Bassitt (TOR)  LA Dodgers 18 121.2 1.3
D. German (NYY)  NY Mets 17 97.2 1.6
K. Waldichuk (OAK) SF Giants 16 80 1.8
J. Urias (LAD)  TOR Blue Jays 15 75.1 1.8
G. Canning (LAA)  DET Tigers 15 79.2 1.7
P. Lopez (MIN)  SEA Mariners 15 121.1 1.1
C. Burnes (MIL)  CIN Reds 14 121.1 1.0
T. Walker (PHI)  BA Orioles 13 107.1 1.1
R. Hill (PIT)  SD Padres 13 109.2 1.1
G. Kirby (SEA)  MIN Twins 13 119.2 1.0
B. Snell (SD)  PIT Pirates 11 108 0.9
J. France (HOU)  TEX Rangers 10 77.2 1.2
E. Cabrera (MIA)  TB Rays 10 72 1.3
S. Matz (STL)  ARI D-Backs 10 81 1.1
M. Kelly (ARI)  STL Cardinals 10 95 0.9
J. Verlander (NYM)  NY Yankees 9 83 1.0
A. Abbott (CIN)  MIL Brewers 8 55.2 1.3
T. Glasnow (TB)  MIA Marlins 8 54.2 1.3
K. Hendricks (CHC)  CHI White Sox 8 64 1.1

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter Timeframe (last # of days) HR
S. Ohtani
(LAA)
Last 30 11
M. Machado
(SD)
Last 30 10
L. Robert
(CHW)
Last 30 9
M. Betts
(LAD)
Last 30 9
J. Martinez (LAD) Last 30 8
M. Olson (ATL) Last 30 8
C. Bellinger
(CHC)
Last 15 5
T. Casas
(BOS)
Last 15 5
C. McCormick (HOU) Last 15 5
A. Riley
(ATL)
Last 7 6
W. Flores (SF) Last 7 4
M. Muncy (LAD) Last 7 4
C. Cron (COL) Last 7 4
 

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals T-1st 56
OAK Athletics T-1st 56
NY Mets T-2nd 49
DET Tigers T-2nd 49
TB Rays 3rd 48
CHI White Sox T-4th 47
TOR Blue Jays T-4th 47
MIA Marlins 5th 46

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter Opposing Pitcher Plate Appearances HR AVG
E. Longoria (ARI) S Matz (STL) 5 2 .400
G. Stanton (NYY) J. Verlander (NYM) 21 2 .150
E. Jimenez (CHW) K. Hendricks (CHC) 11 2 .273
T. d'Arnaud (ATL) J. Paxton (BOS) 8 2 .429
L. Robert Jr. (CHW) K. Hendricks (CHC) 8 2 .500
M. Machado (SD) R. Hill (PIT) 13 2 .417
J. Turner (BOS) C. Morton (ATL) 29 2 .292
B. Belt (TOR) J. Urias (LAD) 30 2 .318
K. Bryant (COL) T. Williams (WSH) 27 2 .350
D. LeMahieu J. Verlander (NYM) 26 2 .320
N. Castellanos (PHI) K. Gibson (BAL) 46 2 .233
K. Marte (ARI) S. Matz (STL) 12 1 .250
S. Perez (KC) Aaron Civale (CLE) 14 1 .273
A. Duvall (BOS) C. Morton (ATL) 13 1 .273
E. Olivares (KC) A, Civale (CLE) 11 1 .273
D. Peralta (LAD) C. Bassitt (LAD) 12 1 .300
N. Arenado (STL) M. Kelly (ARI) 15 1 .308
A. Hicks (BAL) T. Walker (PHI) 16 1 .333
W. Contreras (MIL) A. Abbott (CIN) 9 1 .500
W. Contreras (STL) M. Kelly (ARI) 9 1 .571
M. Canha (NYM) D. German (NYY) 14 1 .539

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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