Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, July 18

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

BetMGM has one of the best promos out there for new users, giving them up to $1,000 back on their first bet if it loses, a great way to build your bankroll on a new book. Already have BetMGM? Check out our Best Sportsbooks to see what else you can capitalize on.

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
A. Nola (PHI)	MIL Brewers	21	119.0	1.59
T. Wells (BAL)	LA Dodgers	21	104.2	1.81
L. Weaver (CIN)	SF Giants	17	73.1	2.09
P. Corbin (WSH)	CHI Cubs	17	108.2	1.41
L. Giolito (CHW)	NY Mets	17	112.1	1.36
D. German (NYY)	LA Angels	16	91.2	1.58
J. Taillon (CHC)	WSH Nationals	13	71.2	1.64
C. Carrasco (NYM)	CHI Sox	12	61.0	1.77
A. DeSclafini (SF)	CIN Reds	12	93.1	1.16
L. Medina (OAK)	BOS Sox	11	59.2	1.67
T. Bradley (TB)	TEX Rangers	11	61.1	1.62
A. Manoah (TOR)	SD Padres	11	64.0	1.55
M. Grove (LAD)	BAL Orioles	9	47.0	1.72
D. Lynch (KC)	DET Tigers	7	47.1	1.34
J. Tehran (MIL)	PHI Phillies	7	47.0	1.34

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	12
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
L. Robert (CHW)	Last 30	10
M. Machado (SD)	Last 15	6
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 15	5
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 15	5
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 7	3
T. Casas (BOS)	Last 7	3
R. Devers (BOS)	Last 7	3
C. McCormick (HOU)	Last 7	3
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 7	3

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
Oakland Athletics	T-1st	53
Washington Nationals	T-1st	53
New York Mets	2nd	47
Chicago White Sox	3rd	46
Detroit Tigers	T-4th	45
Tampa Bay Rays	T-4th	45

 

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
B. Harper (PHI)	J. Theran (MIL)	60	9	.404
S. Perez (KC)	T. Skubal (DET)	16	3	.438
F. Mejia (TB)	N. Eovaldi (TEX)	10	2	.400
I. Happ (CHC)	P. Corbin (WSH)	12	1	.273
J. Baez (DET)	D. Lynch (KC)	14	1	.308
E. Haase (DET)	D. Lynch (KC)	15	1	.308
W. Contreras (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	16	1	.267
R. Tapia (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	13	1	.333
D. Varsho (TOR)	J. Musgrove (SD)	12	1	.364
B. Lowe (TB)	N. Eovaldi (TEX)	25	1	.227
J. Realmuto (PHI)	J. Tehran (MIL)	34	1	.233
T. Turner (PHI)	J. Tehran (MIL)	27	1	.400
C. Yelich (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	31	1	.333
T. Anderson (CHW)	C. Carrasco (NYM)	37	1	.297
E. Andrus (CHW)	C. Carrasco (NYM)	21	1	.368

 

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.