Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, August 8

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props that continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Tuesday, August 8

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
T. Williams (WAS)	PHI Phillies	22	108.2	1.83
Z. Wheeler (PHI)	WSH Nationals	12	130.3	0.83
J. Gray (WAS)	PHI Phillies	15	122.0	1.11
R. Suarez (PHI)	WSH Nationals	8	85.1	0.85
M. Mikolas (STL)	TB Rays	12	134.1	0.81
Z. Elfin (TB)	STL Cardinals	11	121.4	0.82
S. Gray (MIN)	DET Tigers	5	124.1	0.36
E. Rodriguez (DET)	MIN Twins	8	94.1	0.77
B. Garrett (MIA)	CIN Reds	15	111	1.22
L. Weaver (CIN)	MIA Marlins	22	89	2.22
F. Valdez (HOU)	BAL Orioles	11	134.3	0.74
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	HOU Astros	13	68	1.72
Y. Chirinos (ATL)	DET Tigers	10	71.1	1.27
M. Keller (PIT)	NY Yankees	18	138.2	1.17
B. Singer (KC)	BOS Red Sox	12	121.2	0.89
K. Crawford (BOS)	KC Royals	12	81.3	1.33
J. Taillon (CHC)	NY Mets	15	94	1.44
C. Carrasco (NYM)	CHI Cubs	15	85.4	1.58
Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	CLE Guardians	22	115.1	1.72
T. Bibee (CLE)	TOR Blue Jays	10	94.2	0.96
C. Schmidt (NYY)	CHI White Sox	16	109.2	1.32
T. Toussaint (CHW)	NY Yankees	4	41.1	0.88
K. Freeland (COL)	MIL Brewers	20	112.3	1.60
W. Miley (MIL)	COL Rockies	8	71.2	1.01
S. Alexander (SF)	LA Angels	1	33.2	0.27
L. Giolito (LAA)	SF Giants	25	130	1.73
J. Urias (LAD)	ARI Diamondbacks	16	85.4	1.69
B. Pfaadt (ARI)	LA Dodgers	14	44.1	2.86
N. Martinez (SD)	SEA Mariners	10	80.2	1.12
L. Gilbert (SEA)	SD Padres	17	130.2	1.18
M. Scherzer (TEX)	OAK Athletics	23	113.2	1.83
JP Sears (OAK)	TEX Rangers	25	121.2	1.86

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 15	7
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 15	7
D. Swanson (CHI)	Last 15	7
G. Sanchez (SD)	Last 15	6
M. Wallner (MIN)	Last 15	6
R. Jeffers (MIN)	Last 7	4
J. Votto (CIN)	Last 7	4
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 7	3
A. Garcia (TEX)	Last 7	3
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 7	3

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics	1st	61
WAS Nationals	2nd	60
ARI Diamondbacks	T-3rd	55
DET Tigers	T-3rd	55
TB Rays	T-3rd	55

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
K. Schwarber (PHI)	T. Williams (WAS)	43	4	.270
T. Turner (PHI)	T. Williams (WAS)	20	3	.263
N. Castellanos (PHI)	J. Gray (WAS)	14	3	.357
J. Realmuto (PHI)	T. Williams (WAS)	12	3	.500
C. Kelly (ARI)	J. Urias (LAD)	15	2	.214
J. Gallo (MIN)	E. Rodriguez (DET)	8	2	.375
K. Calhoun (CLE)	Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	10	2	.375
K. Schwarber (PHI)	J. Gray (WAS)	18	2	.333
M. Kepler (MIN)	E. Rodriguez (DET)	19	2	.353
M. Cabrera (DET)	S. Gray (MIN)	28	2	.348
N. Castellanos (PHI)	T. Williams (WAS)	30	2	.393

*Potential starters not yet confirmed

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.