Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, August 29

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Tuesday, August 29

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
Peter Lambert (COL)	ATL Braves	14	71.1	1.77
Luis Ortiz (PIT)	KC Royals	11	57	1.74
Ken Waldichuk (OAK)	SEA Mariners	21	110	1.72
MacKenzie Gore (WAS)	TOR Blue Jays	23	127.1	1.63
Andrew Heaney (TEX)	NY Mets	22	122.1	1.62
Dean Kremer (BAL)	CHI White Sox	25	144	1.56
Jesse Scholtens (CHW)	BAL Orioles	10	65	1.38
Brandon Williamson (CIN)	SF Giants	14	92.2	1.37
Clayton Kershaw (LAD)	ARI D-Backs	15	107.1	1.26
Brayan Bello (BOS)	HOU Astros	17	126.1	1.21
Seth Lugo (SD)	STL Cardinals	14	109.1	1.15
J.P. France (HOU)	BOS Red Sox	14	110.1	1.14
Pablo Lopez (MIN)	CLE Guardians	20	158.2	1.14
Jose Berrios (TOR)	WAS Nationals	19	152	1.13
Merrill Kelly (ARI)	LA Dodgers	17	136.1	1.12
Sandy Alcantara (MIA)	TB Rays	21	171	1.11
Alex Cobb (SF)	CIN Reds	16	132.1	1.09
Corbin Burnes (MIL)	CHI Cubs	19	158	1.08
Michael Lorenzen (PHI)	LA Angels	15	131.2	1.03
Zack Thompson (STL)	SD Padres	4	35	1.03
Tyler Anderson (LAA)	PHI Phillies	13	117.2	1
Gavin Williams (CLE)	MIN Twins	7	64	0.98
George Kirby (SEA)	OAK Athletics	17	156.1	0.98
Michael King (NYY)	DET Tigers	7	69	0.91
Charlie Morton (ATL)	COL Rockies	13	141.2	0.83
Cole Ragans (KC)	PIT Pirates	5	59	0.76
Justin Steele (CHC)	MIL Brewers	11	138	0.72
Aaron Civale (TB)	MIA Marlins	6	97.1	0.56
Jose Quintana (NYM)	TEX Rangers	1	41	0.22
Tarik Skubal (DET)	NY Yankees	1	44.1	0.2

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 7	5
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 7	4
D. LeMahieu (NYY)	Last 7	4
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 7	4
A. Santander (BAL)	Last 7	4
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 15	6
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	6
D. Stewart (NYM)	Last 15	6
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 15	6
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 15	6

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	79
OAK Athletics	2nd	69
CHI White Sox	3rd	68
NY Mets	T-4th	65
BOS Red Sox	T-4th	65

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
Christian Walker (ARI)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	34	5	.303
N. Arenado (STL)	S. Lugo (SD)	11	3	.600
M. Betts (LAD)	M. Kelly (ARI)	34	3	.233
K. Marte (ARI)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	44	3	.256
B. Harper (PHI)	T. Anderson (LAA)	9	2	.500
W. Adames (MIL)	J. Steele (CHC)	22	2	.263
P. Goldschmidt (STL)	S. Lugo (SD)	10	2	.667
D. Swanson (CHC)	C. Burnes (MIL)	15	2	.571

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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