Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Tuesday, August 15

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props that continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Tuesday, August 15

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
Logan Allen (CLE)	CIN Reds	11	91.1	1.09
Graham Ashcraft (CIN)	CLE Guardians	18	120	1.35
Cristian Javier (HOU)	MIA Marlins	18	117.2	1.38
Johnny Cueto (MIA)	HOU Astros	7	27	2.33
Nick Pivetta (BOS)	WAS Nationals	17	97.1	1.58
Josiah Gray (WAS)	BOS Red Sox	16	126.2	1.14
Zack Wheeler (PHI)	TOR Blue Jays	14	137	0.92
Yusei Kikuchi (TOR)	PHI Phillies	22	122.1	1.62
Bailey Falter (PIT)	NY Mets	9	48.1	1.68
David Peterson (NYM)	PIT Pirates	10	69	1.30
Luis Severino (NYY)	ATL Braves	18	63.2	2.56
Bryce Elder (ATL)	NY Yankees	14	131	0.96
Alex Faedo (DET)	MIN Twins	9	40.1	2.02
Bailey Ober (MIN)	DET Tigers	15	108.2	1.25
Dakota Hudson (STL)	OAK Athletics	4	31.1	1.16
Lucas Giolito (LAA)	TEX Rangers	25	136.0	1.65
Jordan Montgomery (TEX)	LA Angels	14	133	0.95
Touki Toussaint (CHW)	CHI Cubs	4	46.1	0.78
Kyle Hendricks (CHC)	CHI White Sox	11	86.1	1.15
Emerson Hancock (SEA)	KC Royals	0	5	0.00
Jordan Lyles (KC)	SEA Mariners	24	126.1	1.71
Joe Mantiply (ARI)	COL Rockies	4	20.0	1.80
Ty Blach (COL)	ARI D-Backs	4	32.0	1.13
Jack Flaherty (BAL)	SD Padres	11	120.2	0.82
Michael Wacha (SD)	BAL Orioles	8	85.2	0.85
Zack Littell (TB)	SF Giants	5	41.2	1.09
Jakob Junis (SF)	TB Rays	11	64.0	1.55
Adrian Houser (MIL)	LA Dodgers	9	78.0	1.04
Bobby Miller (LAD)	MIL Brewers	6	69.1	0.78

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 15	7
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 15	6
J. Bell (MIA)	Last 7	4
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 7	3
T. Edman (STL)	Last 7	3
J. Gallo (MIN)	Last 7	3
Z. Gelof (OAK)	Last 7	3
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 7	3
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 7	3

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics	1st	65
WAS Nationals	2nd	64
NY Mets	3rd	63
CIN Reds	T-4th	59
TB Rays	T-4th	59

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
E. Escobar (LAA)	J. Montgomery (TEX)	7	2	.429
E. Jimenez (CHW)	K. Hendricks (CHC)	14	2	.308
L. Robert (CHW)	K. Hendricks (CHC)	11	2	.444
P. DeJong (TOR)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	10	2	.444
K. Pillar (ATL)	L. Severino (NYY)	22	2	.278
A. Santander (BAL)	M. Wacha (SD)	16	2	.333
B. Belt (TOR)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	24	2	.300
R. Mountcastle (BAL)	M. Wacha (SD)	16	2	.400
C. Mullins (BAL)	M. Wacha (SD)	17	2	.438

*Potential starters not yet confirmed

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.