Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Thursday, July 20

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Today's Top MLB Props

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

BetMGM has one of the best promos out there for new users, giving them up to $1,000 back on their first bet if it loses, a great way to build your bankroll on a new book. Already have BetMGM? Check out our Best Sportsbooks to see what else you can capitalize on.

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
M. Kopech (CHW)	NY Mets	18	86.2	1.9
C. Bassitt (TOR)	SD Padres	18	115.2	1.4
P. Lopez (MIN)	SEA Mariners	14	116.2	1.1
C. Burnes (MIL)	PHI Phillies	14	113.1	1.1
S. Strider (ATL)	ARI D-Backs	14	110.2	1.1
G. Kirby (SEA)	MIN Twins	13	112.2	1.0
T. Walker (PHI)	MIL Brewers	12	101.1	1.1
B. Singer (KC)	DET Tigers	12	102.2	1.1
M. Lorenzen (DET)	KC Royals	11	93.2	1.1
B. Snell (SD)	TOR Blue Jays	11	103.0	1.0
J. France (HOU)	OAK Athletics	10	70.2	1.3
S. Matz (STL)	CHI Cubs	10	76.0	1.2
A. Abbott (CIN)	SF Giants	8	47.2	1.5
T. Glasnow (TB)	BAL Orioles	8	47.2	1.5
H. Harris (OAK)	HOU Astros	6	47	1.1

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
L. Robert (CHW)	Last 30	10
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	10
M. Machado (SD)	Last 15	7
F Alvarez (NYM)	Last 15	5
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 15	5
N. Arenado (BOS)	Last 15	5
G. Stanton (NYY)	Last 15	5
J. Naylor (CLE)	Last 7	4
C. McCormick (HOU)	Last 7	4
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	55
OAK Athletics	2nd	53
NY Mets	T-3rd	47
CHI White Sox	T-3rd	47
TB Rays	T-3rd	47
TOR Blue Jays	4th	46
DET Tigers	5th	45
MIA Marlins	6th	44

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
P. Goldschmidt (STL)	M. Stroman (CHI)	27	3	.375
N. Gorman (STL)	M. Stroman (CHI)	17	2	.294
Y. Grandal (CHW)	J. Quintana (NYM)	17	2	.333
M. Cabrera (DET)	B. Singer (KC)	10	1	.200
K. Schwarber (PHI)	C. Brunes (MIL)	13	1	.200
A. Santander (BAL)	T. Glasnow (TB)	8	1	.250
C. Bellinger (CHC)	S. Matz (STL)	10	1	.286
N. Castellanos (PHI)	C. Burnes (MIL)	9	1	.286
M. Machado (SD)	C. Bassitt (TOR)	14	1	.214
S. Torkelson (DET)	B. Singer (KC)	14	1	.250
A. Riley (ATL)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	8	1	.429
A. Hicks (BAL	T. Glasnow (TB)	12	1	.400
G. Springer (TOR)	B. Snell (SD)	19	1	.278
W. Merrifield (TOR)	B. Snell (SD)	10	1	.556
O. Albies (ATL)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	9	1	.500

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.