Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Thursday, August 17

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Thursday, August 17

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
L. Lynn (LAD)	MIL Brewers	32	137.2	2.09
P. Corbin (WSH)	BOS Red Sox	24	137.1	1.57
R. Hill (SD)	ARI D-Backs	18	125.1	1.29
C. Burnes (MIL	LA Dodgers	16	145.0	0.99
G. Kirby (SEA)	KC Royals	15	144.2	0.93
Z. Gallen (ARI)	SD Padres	15	155.2	0.87
A. Wainwright (STL)	NY Mets	14	66.2	1.89
C. Sale (BOS)	WSH Nationals	9	63.2	1.27
X. Curry (CLE)	DET Tigers	8	69.0	1.04
A. Zerpa (KC) *stats from AAA*	SEA Mariners	5	34.2	1.30
T. Skubal (DET)	CLE Guardians	1	32.1	0.28
J. Quintana (NYM)	STL Cardinals	0	29.2	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	LAST # OF DAYS	HR
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	13
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 30	13
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	10
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 30	9
Z. Gelof (OAK)	Last 30	8
G. Sanchez (SD)	Last 30	8
J. Soto (SD)	Last 30	8
D. Swanson (CHC)	Last 30	8
M. Wallner (MIN)	Last 30	8
B. Reynolds (PIT)	Last 15	5
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 15	5
C. Walker (ARI)	Last 7	5
T. Edman (STL)	Last 7	4
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics	1st	66
WSH Nationals	2nd	65
NY Mets	3rd	63
TB Rays	T-4th	60
CHI White Sox	T-4th	60
CIN Reds	T-5th	59
DET Tigers	T-5th	59
ARI D-Backs	6th	57

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	BATTING AVG
T. Story (BOS)	P. Corbin (WSH)	36	3	.333
P. Goldschmidt (STL)	J. Quintana (NYM)	19	3	.647
N. Arenado (STL)	J. Quintana (NYM)	16	2	.133
C. Yelich (MIL)	L. Lynn (LAD)	15	2	.200
F. Tatis Jr. (SD)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	18	2	.333
A. Duvall (BOS)	P. Corbin (WSH)	37	2	.343
S. Marte (NYM)	A. Wainwright (STL)	67	2	.246
J. Turner (BOS)	P. Corbin (BOS)	48	2	.381
L. Urias (BOS)	P. Corbin (BOS)	10	1	.333
T. Pham (ARI)	R. Hill (SD)	10	1	.333
X. Bogaerts (SD)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	9	1	.375
J. Heyward (LAD)		13	1	.333
J. Cronenworth (SD)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	26	1	.273
M. Machado (SD)	Z. Gallen (ARI)	21	1	.300
O. Narvaez (NYM)	A. Wainwright (STL)	27		.375

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

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