Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Sunday, September 3

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Sunday, September 3

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
Chase Anderson (COL)	TOR	14	60.2	2.09
Michael Kopech (CHW)	DET	28	124	2.03
Kyle Muller	LAA	13	63.1	1.85
Taj Bradley (TB)	@CLE	14	74.2	1.70
Jameson Taillon (CHC)	@CIN	21	121.2	1.56
Kenta Maeda (MIN)	@TEX	13	78.2	1.50
Taylor Clarke (KC)	BOS	8	49.2	1.46
Cristian Javier (HOU)	NYY	21	131.1	1.44
Tylor Megill (NYM)	SEA	14	97	1.30
Chris Sale (BOS)	@KC	11	77.2	1.28
Wade Miley (MIL)	PHI	13	93.2	1.26
Josiah Gray (WAS)	MIA	18	137.2	1.18
Tyler Anderson (LAA)	@OAK	16	122.2	1.18
Seth Lugo (SD)	SF	15	115.1	1.17
Sandy Alcantara (MIA)	@WSH	21	176.2	1.07
Jon Gray (TEX)	MIN	16	137.2	1.05
Zac Gallen (ARI)	BAL	20	173.1	1.04
Xzavion Curry	TB	9	79	1.03
Alex Cobb (SF)	@SD	16	141.1	1.02
George Kirby (SEA)	@NYM	17	156.1	0.98
Johan Oviedo (PIT)	@STL	16	154.1	0.93
Kevin Gausman (TOR)	@COL	16	155.1	0.93
Ranger Suárez (PHI)	@MIL	10	97.1	0.93
Zack Thompson (STL)	PIT	4	39	0.92
Jack Flaherty (BAL)	@ARI	13	129.1	0.91
Michael King (NYY)	@HOU	7	73	0.86
Charlie Morton (ATL)	@LAD	13	147.2	0.79
Tarik Skubal (DET)	@CHW	3	50.1	0.54
Bobby Miller (LAD)	ATL	4	87.2	0.41

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	12
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	11
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	11
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	10
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 30	9
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	9
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	8
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 15	7

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	81
OAK Athletics	T-2nd	70
DET Tigers	3rd	69
CHI White Sox	T-4th	68
LA Angels	T-4th	68
NY Mets	T-4th	68
BOS Red Sox	T-4th	68

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
F. Freeman (LAD)	C. Morton (ATL)	18	3	.556
G. Sanchez (SD)	A. Cobb (SF)	13	2	.308
W. Contreras (MIL)	R. Suarez (PHI)	16	2	.400
M. Machado (SD)	A. Cobb (SF)	39	2	.194

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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