Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Sunday, July 30

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Sunday, July 30

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
D. Kremer (BAL)	NY Yankees	22	115.2	1.71
M. Kopech (CHW)	CLE Guardians	22	97.1	2.03
T. Williams (WSH)	NY Mets	21	104.2	1.81
L. Castillo (SEA)	ARI D-Backs	19	98	1.74
G. Ashcraft (CIN)	LA Dodgers	15	125.1	1.07
C. Rea (MIL)	ATL Braves	15	91.1	1.48
L. Severino (NYY)	BAL Orioles	14	54.1	2.32
R. Hill (PIT)	PHI Phillies	14	114	1.10
J. Berrios (TOR)	LA Angels	14	124.1	1.01
J. Luzardo (MIA)	DET Tigers	13	120.1	0.97
B Bielak (HOU)	TB Rays	12	69.2	1.56
L. Medina (OAK)	COL Rockies	12	70.1	1.54
B. Snell (SD)	TEX Rangers	11	114	0.86
T. Anderson (LAA)	TOR Blue Jays	11	93	1.06
S. Matz (STL)	CHI Cubs	10	87	1.03
M. Kelly (ARI)	SEA Mariners	10	101	0.89
J. Verlander (NYM)	WSH Nationals	9	89	0.91
M. Grove (LAD)	CIN Reds	9	56.2	1.44
K. Hendricks (CHC)	STL Cardinals	8	70.1	1.02
C. Bradford (TEX)	SD Padres	8	37	1.94
C. Sanchez (PHI)	PIT Pirates	7	42.1	1.49
K. Maeda (MIN)	KC Royals	6	48.2	1.12
A. Smith-Shawver (ATL)	MIL Brewers	5	16.2	2.7
A. Civale (CLE)	CHI White Sox	5	71	0.63
Z. Littell (TB)	HOU Astros	4	24.2	1.48
R. Yarbrough (KC)	MIN Twins	4	44	0.81
B. Bernardino (BOS)	SF Giants	2	35	0.51
T. Blach (COL)	OAK Athletics	2	16.1	1.11
S. Alexander (SF)	BOS Red Sox	1	29	0.31

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	11
M. Muncy (LAD)	Last 30	9
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	9
C. Bellinger (CHI)	Last 30	8
F. Alvarez (NYM)	Last 30	8
J. Burger (CHW)	Last 30	8
A. Bregman (HOU)	Last 15	6
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 15	7
T. Casas (BOS)	Last 15	5
W. Flores (SF)	Last 15	5
N. Gorman (STL)	Last 15	5
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 15	5
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	59
OAK Athletics	2nd	58
TB Rays	3rd	53
DET Tigers	4th	52
CHI White Sox	5th	50

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
F. Reyes (KC)	K. Maeda (MIN)	19	4	.263
A. Judge (NYY)	D. Kremer (BAL)	10	3	.400
T. Anderson (CHW)	A. Civale (CLE)	18	3	.389
S. Ohtani (LAA)	J. Berrios (TOR)	19	3	.438
N. Arenado (CHC)	K. Hendricks (CHC)	42	3	.250
C. Vasquez (MIN)	R. Yarbrough (KC)	28	3	.393
J. Soler (MIA)	T. Skubal (DET)	7	2	.500
M. Moustakas (LAA)	J. Berrios (TOR)	11	2	.300
A. Santander (BAL)	L. Severino (NYY)	8	2	.375
E. Jimenez (CHW)	A. Civale (CLE)	13	2	.385
T. Pham (NYM)	T. Williams (WSH)	16	1	.231
J. Harrison (PHI)	R. Hill (PIT)	11	1	.273
C. Bellinger (CHC)	S. Matz (STL)	12	1	.333
A. Benintendi (CHW)	A. Civale (CLE)	10	1	.429
Y. Gomes (CHC)	S. Matz (STL)	18	1	.250
L. Robert Jr. (CHW)	A. Civale (CLE)	17	1	.357
T. Turner (PHI)	R. Hill (PIT)	15	1	.467

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.