Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Sunday, August 13

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Saturday, August 13

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
Kodai Senga (NYM)	ATL Braves	11	116.2	0.85
Eduardo Rodriguez (DET)	BOS Red Sox	8	101.1	0.71
Gerrit Cole (NYY)	MIA Marlins	15	150.1	0.9
Yonny Chirinos (ATL)	NY Mets	14	76.1	1.65
Kutter Crawford (BOS)	DET Tigers	13	85.1	1.37
Freddy Peralta (MIL)	CHI White Sox	19	122	1.4
Logan Webb (SF)	TEX Rangers	17	154.1	0.99
Zach Eflin (TB)	CLE Guardians	12	129.1	0.84
Julio Urías (LAD)	COL Rockies	16	92.1	1.56
Mitch Keller (PIT)	CIN Reds	19	143.2	1.19
Kyle Bradish (BAL)	SEA Mariners	12	115.2	0.93
Eury Pérez (MIA)	NY Yankees	9	58	1.4
Tanner Bibee (CLE)	TB Rays	10	101.2	0.89
Bryce Miller (SEA)	BAL Orioles	13	85.2	1.37
Sonny Gray (MIN)	PHI Phillies	5	130.1	0.35
Dylan Cease (CHW)	MIL Brewers	13	126.1	0.93
Dane Dunning (TEX)	SF Giants	11	120.2	0.82
Jameson Taillon (CHC)	TOR Blue Jays	16	101	1.43
Seth Lugo (SD)	ARI Diamondbacks	13	92.1	1.27
Ranger Suárez (PHI)	MIN Twins	9	91	0.89
José Urquidy (HOU)	LA Angels	7	31	2.03
Hyun Jin Ryu (TOR)	CHI Cubs	1	9	1
Chase Silseth (LAA)	HOU Astros	7	36.1	1.73
Brandon Williamson (CIN)	PIT Pirates	13	75.1	1.55
Trevor Williams (WAS)	OAK Athletics	25	113.1	1.99
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)	SD Padres	14	49	2.57
Kyle Freeland (COL)	LA Dodgers	22	119	1.66
Ken Waldichuk (OAK)	WSH Nationals	16	94.1	1.53
Andre Jackson (PIT)	CIN Reds	5	22.2	1.99

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 15	9
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 15	6
C. Raleigh (SEA)	Last 15	6
D. Swanson (CHC)	Last 15	6
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 7	4
O. Albies (ATL)	Last 7	3
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 7	3
J. Bell (MIA)	Last 7	3

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics	1st	65
WSH Nationals	2nd	64
NY Mets	3rd	61
TB Rays	4th	59
CHI White Sox	T-5th	57
CIN Reds	T-5th	57

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
G. Springer (TOR)	J. Taillon (CHC)	23	2	.235
M. Betts (LAD)	K. Freeland (COL)	33	2	.226
C. Taylor (LAD)	K. Freeland (COL)	36	2	.241

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.