Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Saturday, September 30

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Saturday, September 30.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
PIT : Quinn Priester (R) 3-2, ERA 7.86	MIA Marlins	11	44.2	2.24
CIN : Connor Phillips (R) 1-0, ERA 5.66	STL Cardinals	5	20.2	2.23
STL : Drew Rom (L) 1-4, ERA 7.98	CIN Reds	6	29.1	1.86
TOR : Hyun Jin Ryu (L) 3-3, ERA 3.31	TB Rays	9	49	1.65
WSH : Joan Adon (R) 2-4, ERA 6.42	ATL Braves	8	47.2	1.53
PHI : Cristopher Sanchez (L) 3-5, ERA 3.48	NY Mets	16	98.1	1.47
TEX : Andrew Heaney (L) 10-6, ERA 4.28	SEA Mariners	23	143	1.45
NYY : Clarke Schmidt (R) 9-9, ERA 4.65	KC Royals	23	155	1.34
SEA : Luis Castillo (R) 14-8, ERA 3.24	TEX Rangers	28	194.1	1.30
LA : Clayton Kershaw (L) 13-4, ERA 2.42	SF Giants	18	126.1	1.28
BOS : Kutter Crawford (R) 6-8, ERA 4.23	BAL Orioles	17	123.1	1.24
SF : Tristan Beck (R) 3-2, ERA 4.05	LA Dodgers	10	80	1.13
CHW : Mike Clevinger (R) 9-8, ERA 3.40	SD Padres	16	129.2	1.11
BAL : Kyle Gibson (R) 15-9, ERA 4.86	BOS Red Sox	23	187	1.11
ATL : Spencer Strider (R) 19-5, ERA 3.81	WSH Nationals	22	181.2	1.09
SD : Michael Wacha (R) 13-4, ERA 3.39	CHI White Sox	15	127.1	1.06
ARI : Merrill Kelly (R) 12-7, ERA 3.48	HOU Astros	20	170.2	1.06
HOU : Justin Verlander (R) 12-8, ERA 3.32	ARI D-Backs	18	157.1	1.03
CHC : Jordan Wicks (L) 4-1, ERA 3.00	MIL Brewers	3	33	0.82
CLE : Triston McKenzie (R) 0-2, ERA 6.17	DET Tigers	1	11.200	0.80
KC : Steven Cruz (R) 0-0, ERA 5.40	NY Yankees	1	11.2	0.80
MIN : Emilio Pagan (R) 4-1, ERA 3.03	COL Rockies	5	68.1	0.66
MIA : JT Chargois (R) 1-0, ERA 3.67	PIT Pirates	3	41.2	0.66
NYM : Jose Quintana (L) 3-6, ERA 3.39	PHI Phllies	4	71.2	0.51
NYM : Jose Quintana (L) 3-6, ERA 3.39	PHI Phillies	4	71.2	0.51
TB : Shawn Armstrong (R) 1-0, ERA 1.41	TOR Blue Jays	2	51	0.35
OAK : Joe Boyle (R) 1-0, ERA 0.00	LA Angels	0	9.000	0.00
DET : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	CLE Guardians	-	-	0.00
PHI : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	NY Mets	-	-	0.00
MIL : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	CHI Cubs	-	-	0.00
COL : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	MIN Twins	-	-	0.00
LAA : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	OAK Athletics	-	-	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	11
J. Soto (SD)	Last 30	10
N. Velazquez (KC)	Last 30	9
M. Semien (TEX)	Last 30	9
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	9
JD Martinez (LAD)	Last 15	7
C. Encarnacion-Strand (CIN)	Last 15	7

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	92
LA Angels	2nd	86
KC Royals	3rd	85
TEX Rangers	4th	84
DET Tigers	5th	82
OAK Athletics	6th	81

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
Austin Slater (SF)	Clayton Kershaw (L)	25	3	.240
Yandy Diaz (TB)	Hyun Jin Ryu (L)	15	2	.250
Luis Garcia (WAS)	Spencer Strider (R)	10	2	.400
AJ Pollock (SF)	Clayton Kershaw (L)	51	2	.192
Nick Castellanos (PHI)	Jose Quintana (L)	47	2	.267

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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