Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Saturday, September 23

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Saturday, September 23.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
C. Flexen (COL)	CHI Cubs	23	91.1	2.27
R. Stripling (SF) *tentative*	LA Dodgers	20	81.2	2.22
J. Lyles (KC) *tentative*	HOU Astros	38	166.2	2.06
J. Means (BAL)	CLE Guardians	2	10.0	1.80
J. Woodford (STL)	SD Padres	8	42.1	1.71
B. Falter (PIT)	CIN Reds	14	78.2	1.61
N. Pivetta (BOS)	CHI White Sox	23	128.2	1.61
Z. Littell (TB)	TOR Blue Jays	13	83.0	1.41
L. Gilbert (SEA)	TEX Rangers	27	179.0	1.36
C. Kershaw (LAD)	SF Giants	18	121.1	1.34
J. France (HOU)	KC Royals	19	131.1	1.30
K. Rosenberg (LAA) *AAA*	MIN Twins	14	100.0	1.26
H. Ryu (TOR)	TB Rays	6	44.2	1.22
J. Luzardo (MIA)	MIL Brewers	22	166.1	1.19
B. Woodruff (MIL)	MIA Marlins	8	62.0	1.16
N. Martinez (SD)	STL Cardinals	12	101.1	1.07
D. Cease (CWS)	BOS Red Sox	19	165.0	1.04
C. Quantrill (CLE)	BAL Orioles	10	90.2	1.00
Z. Wheeler (PHI)	NY Mets	20	181.0	0.99
J. Montgomery (TEX)	SEA Mariners	17	175.2	0.87
C. Phillips (CIN) *AAA*	PIT Pirates	10	105.0	0.86
M. Stroman (CHC)	COL Rockies	8	131.2	0.55
J. Boyle (OAK) *AAA*	DET Tigers	7	117.1	0.54
S. Gray (MIN)	LA Angels	7	174.0	0.36
J. Quintana (NYM)	PHI Phillies	2	65.2	0.28
DET - TBD	OAK Athletics	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	12
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	11
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	11
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	10
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	10
Corey Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
L. O'Hoppe (LAA)	Last 15	6
S Langliers (OAK)	Last 15	5
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 7	4
J. Martinez (LAD)	Last 7	4
B. Rooker (OAK)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	90
TEX Rangers	2nd	83
OAK Athletics	3rd	81
DET Tigers	4th	79
BOS Red Sox	5th	78
KC Royals	T-6th	77
CHI White Sox	T-6th	77

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
J. Davis (SF)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	14	3	.385
A. Slater (SF)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	22	3	.273
A. Pollock (SF)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	51	2	.192
C. McCormick (HOU)	J. Lyles (KC)	10	2	.500
J. Altuve (HOU)	J. Lyles (KC)	19	2	.412
N. Castellanos (PHI)	J. Quintana (NYM)	44	2	.262
J. Martinez (LAD)	R. Stripling (SF)	18	1	.222
A. Bregman (HOU)	J. Lyles (KC)	18	1	.267
M. Yastrzemski (SF)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	14	1	.286
F. Freeman (LAD)	R. Stripling (SF)	15	1	.286
J. Soler (MIA)	B. Woodruff (MIL)	12	1	.333
C. Cron (LAA)	S. Gray (MIN)	24	1	.217
J. Heim (TEX)	L. Gilbert (SEA)	17	1	.313
E. Hernandez (LAD)	R. Stripling (SF)	14	1	.357
F. Lindor (NYM)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	27	1	.269
W. Flores (SF)	C. Kershaw (LAD)	40	1	.237
B. Nimmo (NYM)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	37	1	.306

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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