Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Saturday, September 16

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Satursday, September 16.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
SD : Matt Waldron (R) 0-3, ERA 5.55	OAK Athletics	6	24.1	2.24
WSH : Trevor Williams (R) 6-10, ERA 5.44	MIL Brewers	34	139	2.20
COL : Peter Lambert (R) 3-7, ERA 5.36	SF Giants	18	87.1	1.86
COL : Kyle Freeland (L) 6-14, ERA 5.07	SF Giants	29	152.2	1.71
MIA : Bryan Hoeing (R) 2-2, ERA 4.04	ATL Braves	10	62.1	1.45
BAL : Grayson Rodriguez (R) 5-4, ERA 4.88	TB Rays	16	103.1	1.40
LA : Clayton Kershaw (L) 12-4, ERA 2.61	SEA Mariners	18	117.1	1.38
BOS : Chris Sale (L) 6-4, ERA 4.88	TOR Blue Jays	13	86.2	1.36
HOU : J.P. France (R) 11-5, ERA 3.61	KC Royals	19	127	1.35
NYM : Tylor Megill (R) 8-7, ERA 5.03	CIN Reds	16	107.1	1.34
TOR : Chris Bassitt (R) 14-8, ERA 3.83	BOS Red Sox	26	178.2	1.31
CIN : Andrew Abbott (L) 8-5, ERA 3.64	NY Mets	14	99	1.27
CHW : Touki Toussaint (R) 3-7, ERA 5.65	MIN Twins	10	71.2	1.26
LAA : Tyler Anderson (L) 6-6, ERA 5.36	DET Tigers	19	136	1.26
TEX : Dane Dunning (R) 10-6, ERA 3.91	CLE Guardians	19	152	1.13
STL : Miles Mikolas (R) 7-11, ERA 4.75	PHI Phillies	22	176.1	1.12
ARI : Zach Davies (R) 2-5, ERA 6.81	CHI Cubs	9	75.1	1.08
SEA : Bryce Miller (R) 8-5, ERA 4.05	LA Dodgers	14	117.2	1.08
MIN : Pablo Lopez (R) 10-7, ERA 3.48	CHI White Sox	21	178.2	1.06
MIL : Corbin Burnes (R) 9-8, ERA 3.47	WSH Nationals	21	179	1.06
TB : Tyler Glasnow (R) 9-5, ERA 3.24	BAL Orioles	12	105.2	1.03
PHI : Ranger Suarez (L) 2-6, ERA 3.93	STL Cardinals	12	107.2	1.01
CHC : Kyle Hendricks (R) 6-7, ERA 3.86	ARI-D-Backs	13	121.1	0.97
ATL : Jared Shuster (L) 4-3, ERA 5.26	MIA Marlins	5	49.2	0.91
CLE : Tanner Bibee (R) 10-4, ERA 3.03	TEX Rangers	13	136.2	0.86
SF : Keaton Winn (R) 1-2, ERA 3.55	COL Rockies	3	33	0.82
KC : Cole Ragans (L) 6-4, ERA 3.13	HOU Astros	5	77.2	0.58
PIT : Luis Ortiz (R) 4-4, ERA 4.66	NY Yankees	1	18	0.50
OAK : Mason Miller (R) 0-2, ERA 2.84	SD Padres	1	25.1	0.36
DET : Sawyer Gipson-Long (R) 1-0, ERA 3.60	LA Angels	0	5	0.00
NYY : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	PIT Pirates			0.00
SF : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	COL Rockies			0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	14
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	13
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	10
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	10
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	10
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
M. Garver (TEX)	Last 30	9
S. Langeliers (OAK)	Last 30	9

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	85
TEX Rangers	2nd	83
OAK Athletics	3rd	76
BOS Red Sox	T-4th	75
KC Royals	T-4th	75
ARI D-Backs	T-4th	75

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
N. Castellanos (PHI)	M. Mikolas (STL)	20	2	.200
J. Pederson (SF)	P. Lambert (COL)	14	2	.333
T. Estrada (SF)	K. Freeland (COL)	12	2	.500
B. Harper (PHI)	M. Mikolas (STL)	15	2	.400
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Z. Davies (ARI)	25	2	.304
T. Pham (ARI)	K. Hendricks (CHC)	26	2	.360
J. Peterson (ARI)	K. Hendricks (CHC)	26	2	.435
AJ Pollock (SF)	K. Freeland (COL)	39	2	.306

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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