Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Saturday, July 22

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Today's Top MLB Props

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, continuously updating throughout the day!

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers who have given up the most home runs this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
M. Scherzer (NYM)	BOS Red Sox	18	94.2	1.7
J. Gray (WSH)	SF Giants	15	105.1	1.3
L. Webb (SF)	WSH Nationals	15	133.0	1.0
C. Anderson (COL)	MIA Marlins	14	54.2	2.3
C. Javier (HOU)	OAK Athletics	14	96.1	1.3
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	TB Rays	13	50.1	2.3
L. Gilbert (SEA)	TOR Blue Jays	13	113.1	1.0
B. Singer (KC)	NY Yankees	12	102.2	1.1
D. Cease (CHW)	CHI White Sox	12	107.2	1.0
S. McClanahan (TB)	BAL Orioles	12	102.0	1.1
R. Detmers (LAA)	PIT Pirates	11	91.2	1.1
B. Williamson (CIN)	ARI D-Backs	10	52.2	1.7
J. Paxton (BOS)	NY Mets	9	59	1.4
A. Houser (MIL)	ATL Braves	6	57	0.9
M. Fulmer (CHC)	STL Cardinals	5	42.2	1.1

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	11
L. Robert (CHW)	Last 30	10
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	10
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	10
F Alvarez (NYM)	Last 15	5
C. Bellinger (CHC)	Last 15	5
G. Stanton (NYY)	Last 15	5
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 7	5
C. McCormick (HOU)	Last 7	4
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 7	4
C. Cron (COL)	Last 7	4
W. Flores (SF)	Last 7	4
A. Kiriloff (MIN)	Last 7	4
K. Tucker (HOU)	Last 7	4
J. Siri (TB)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	55
OAK Athletics	2nd	54
NY Mets	T-3rd	47
CHI White Sox	T-3rd	47
TB Rays	T-3rd	47
TOR Blue Jays	4th	46
DET Tigers	5th	45

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
J. Turner (BOS)	M. Scherzer (NYM)	19	4	.400
M. Kepler (MIN)	D. Cease (CHW)	26	3	.273
R. Laureano (OAK)	C. Javier (HOU)	23	2	.227
C. Mullins (BAL	s. McClanahan (TB)	18	2	.353
J. Bell (CLE)	Z. Wheeler (PHI)	32	2	.258
P. Wisdom (CHC)	M. Mikolas (STL)	14	1	.273
M. Canha (NYM)	J. Paxton (BOS)	9	1	.333
L. Robert Jr.	S. Gray (MIN)	9	1	.333
C. Santana (PIT)	R. Detmers (LAA)	8	1	.375
G. Sheets (CHW)	S. Gray (MIN)	8	1	.375
G. Springer (TOR)	L. Gilbert (SEA)	7	1	.429
G. Cooper (MIA)	C. Anderson (COL)	10	1	.444
W. Castro (MIN)	D. Cease (CHW)	20	1	.250
T. Barnhart (CHC)	M. Mikolas (STL)	16	1	.333
A. Santander (BAL)	S. McClanahan (TB)	21	1	.316
K. Bryant (COL)	J. Cueto (MIA)	18	1	.375
C. Raleigh (SEA)	K. Gausman (TOR)	8	1	.286
J. Altuve (HOU)	P. Blackburn (OAK)	15	1	.462
A. Benintendi (CHW)	S. Gray (MIN)	20	1	.400
C. Blackmon COL)	J. Cueto (MIA)	48	1	.311

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