Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, September 4

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Monday, September 4

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
P. Lambert (COL)	ARI D-Backs	15	76.1	1.77
L. Giolito (CLE)	MIN Twins	30	153.2	1.76
K. Waldichuk (OAK)	TOR Blue Jays	21	114.0	1.66
A. Heaney (TEX)	HOU Astros	22	127.2	1.56
G. Rodriguez (BAL)	LA Angels	15	93.0	1.45
R. Hill (SD)	PHI Phillies	21	137.0	1.38
B. Bello (BOS)	TB Rays	19	131.0	1.31
J. Scholtens (CWS)	KC Royals	10	70.1	1.28
K. Rosenberg (LAA) *AAA stats*	BAL Orioles	14	100.0	1.26
J. Berrios (TOR)	OAK Athletics	21	158.0	1.20
J. France (HOU)	TEX Rangers	15	116.0	1.16
P. Lopez (MIN)	CLE Guardians	21	164.2	1.15
B. Woo (SEA)	CIN Reds	8	65.0	1.11
M. Kelly (ARI)	COL Rockies	17	141.1	1.08
T. Walker (PHI)	SD Padres	17	142.1	1.08
C. Burnes (MIL)	PIT Pirates	19	165.0	1.04
L. Webb (SF)	CHI Cubs	19	180.1	0.95
J. Steele (CHC)	SF Giants	11	144.0	0.69
C. Ragans (KC)	CHI White Sox	5	66.0	0.68
A. Civale (TB)	BOS Red Sox	7	102.1	0.62
CIN - TBD	SEA Mariners	-	-	-
PIT - TBD	MIL Brewers	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	12
T. Turner (PHI) *6 in last 7*	Last 30	11
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	11
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	10
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	10
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 30	10
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 30	9
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	9
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 30	9
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	8
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 15	8
D. Stewart (NYM)	Last 7	4
G. Torres (NYY)	Last 7	4
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	81
OAK Athletics	2nd	71
DET Tigers	T-3rd	69
CHI White Sox	T-3rd	69
LA Angels	T-3rd	69
KC Royals	T-3rd	69
BOS Red Sox	T-4th	68
NY Mets	T-4th	68
TEX Rangers	T-5th	67
ARI D-Backs	T-5th	67

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
J. Abreu (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	23	4	.294
M. Kepler (MIN)	L. Giolito (CLE)	46	3	.293
E. Montero (COL)	M. Kelly (ARI)	5	2	.600
C. Correa (MIN)	L. Giolito (CLE)	27	2	.208
R. McMahon (COL)	M. Kelly (ARI)	33	2	.200
J. Altuve (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	35	2	.324
M. Dubon (HOU	A. Heaney (TEX)	10	1	.400
S. Brown (OAK)	J. Berrios (TOR)	12	1	.417
R. Odor (SD)	T. Walker (PHI)	15	1	.500
T. Turner (PHI)	R. Hill (SD)	17	1	.471
A. Bregman (HOU)	A. Heaney (TEX)	34	1	.273

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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