Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, September 18

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Monday, September 18.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
John Means (BAL)	@HOU	2	5	3.60
Connor Phillips (CIN)	MIN	3	8.2	3.29
Lance Lynn (LAD)	DET	41	166.2	2.22
Adam Wainwright (STL)	MIL	20	94	1.91
JP Sears (OAK)	SEA	31	157.2	1.77
Joe Ryan (MIN)	@CIN	28	145.2	1.74
Joan Adon (WSH)	CHW	6	38	1.42
Ty Blach (COL)	@SD	10	64	1.41
Freddy Peralta (MIL)	@STL	23	156.2	1.33
Kutter Crawford (BOS)	@TEX	16	112	1.29
Edward Cabrera (MIA)	NYM	11	85.2	1.16
Justin Verlander (HOU)	BAL	18	143.1	1.13
Brady Singer (KC)	CLE	19	153.2	1.12
Michael Wacha (SD)	COL	14	115.1	1.09
Bryan Woo (SEA)	@OAK	9	75.2	1.08
Mike Clevinger (CHW)	@WSH	13	114.2	1.02
Zack Wheeler (PHI)	@ATL	19	175	0.98
Cal Quantrill (CLE)	@KC	9	85	0.95
Jordan Montgomery (TEX)	BOS	17	168.2	0.91
Kyle Wright (ATL)	PHI	2	21.2	0.85
Eduardo Rodriguez (DET)	@LAD	12	135.2	0.80
Jose Butto (NYM)	@MIA	1	26	0.35

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	12
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	12
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	11
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	10
R. Acuna (ATL)	Last 30	9
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	9
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	9
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
S. Langeliers (OAK)	Last 30	9

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	87
TEX Rangers	2nd	83
OAK Athletics	3rd	78
KC Royals	T-4th	76
DET Tigers	T-4th	76

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
Nolan Arenado (STL)	Freddy Peralta (MIL)	25	4	0.409
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Zack Wheeler (PHI)	45	4	0.256
Kris Bryant (COL)	Michael Wacha (SD)	47	4	0.357
Pete Alonso (NYM)	Edward Cabrera (MIA)	13	3	0.300
J.T. Realmuto (PHI)	Kyle Wright (ATL)	18	2	0.231
Matt Olson (ATL)	Zack Wheeler (PHI)	19	2	0.222
Tyrone Taylor (MIL)	Adam Wainwright (STL)	15	2	0.429
Rafael Devers (BOS)	Jordan Montgomery (TEX)	29	2	0.280
Paul Goldschmidt (STL)	Freddy Peralta (MIL)	24	2	0.381
Jose Ramirez (CLE)	Brady Singer (KC)	26	2	0.429

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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