Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, September 11

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Monday, September 11.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
K. Freeland (COL)	CHI Cubs	28	146.2	1.72
P. Corbin (WSH)	PIT Pirates	30	158.1	1.71
D. Kremer (BAL)	STL Cardinals	26	154.2	1.52
K. Crawford (BOS)	NY Yankees	16	107.1	1.34
B. Woodruff (MIL)	MIA Marlins	7	47.0	1.34
C. Bassitt (TOR)	TEX Rangers	25	173.1	1.30
C. Schmidt (NYY)	BOS Red Sox	20	140.2	1.28
L. Gilbert (SEA)	LA Angels	23	167.0	1.24
R. Detmers (LAA)	SEA Mariners	18	130.2	1.24
J. Luzardo (MIA)	MIL Brewers	21	155.1	1.22
J. Wicks (CHC) *AAA stats*	COL Rockies	12	91.1	1.19
D. Hudson (STL)	BAL Orioles	8	61.0	1.18
D. Dunning (TEX)	TOR Blue Jays	19	146.0	1.17
M. Lorenzen (PHI) GM2	ATL Braves	18	143.2	1.13
A. Cobb (SF)	CLE Guardians	18	144.1	1.12
T. Walker (PHI) GM1	ATL Braves	18	147.1	1.10
G. Stone (LAD) *AAA stats*	SD Padres	12	100.2	1.08
Z. Davies (ARI)	NY Mets	8	71.1	1.01
T. Glasnow (TB)	MIN wins	10	99.2	0.91
G. Williams (CLE)	SF Giants	7	70.0	0.90
F. Valdez (HOU)	OAK Athletics	16	175.2	0.82
C. Morton (ATL) GM1	PHI Phillies	13	151.2	0.77
S. Gray (MIN)	TB Rays	7	163.0	0.39
M. Miller (OAK)	HOU Astros	1	23.1	0.39
P. Avila (SD)	LA Dodgers	1	37.0	0.24
J. Quintana (NYM)	ARI D-Backs	1	54.0	0.17
PIT - TBD	WSH Nationals	-	-	-
CWS - TBD	KC Royals	-	-	-
KC - TBD	CHI White Sox	-	-	-
ATL - TBD GM2	PHI Phillies	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	13
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	12
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	10
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
D. Stewart (NYM)	Last 30	10
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 30	9
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 15	7
W. Contreras (STL)	Last 15	6
G. Torres (NYY)	Last 15	6
J. Altuve (HOU)	Last 7	4
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 7	4
M. Semien (TEX)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	84
TEX Rangers	2nd	79
OAK Athletics	T-3rd	74
KC Royals	T-3rd	74
BOS Red Sox	4th	73
CHI White Sox	T-5th	72
LA Angels	T-5th	72

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
B. Bichette (TOR)	D. Dunning (TEX)	11	3	.455
A. McCutchen (PIT)	P. Corbin (WSH)	58	3	.240
F. Lindor (NYM)	Z. Davies (ARI)	8	2	.333
J. Realmuto (PHI)	K. Wright (ATL) GM2	16	2	.250
M. Harris II (ATL)	T. Walker (PHI) GM1	4	2	.750
K. Schwarber (PHI)	C. Morton (ATL) GM1	25	2	.222
M. Melendez (KC)	D. Cease (CWS)*	12	2	.364
O. Arcia (ATL)	M. Lorenzen (PHI) GM2	17	2	.412
Y. Grandal (CWS)	Z. Greinke (KC)	61	2	.276
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	R. Detmers (LAA)	6	1	.333
T. Pham (ARI)	J. Quintana (NYM)	21	1	.211
B. Harper (PHI)	C. Morton (ATL) GM1	14	1	.364
B. Harper (PHI)	K. Wright (ATL) GM2	34	1	.385
R. Devers (BOS)	C. Schmidt (NYY)	11	1	.400
A. Riley (ATL)	T. Walker (PHI) GM1	11	1	.400
B. Nimmo (NYM)	Z. Davies (ARI)	9	1	.500
D. Swanson (CHC)	K. Freeland (COL)	16	1	.467

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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