Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, July 31

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers who have allowed the most HR
• Hot hitters – most HR over last X games
• The five worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props, that continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Monday, July 31

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and HR/9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
A. Gomber (COL)	SD Padres	22	108	1.83
D. German (NYY)	TB Rays	20	103.2	1.74
C. Bassitt (TOR)	BAL Orioles	19	126.2	1.35
R. Nelson (ARI)	SF Giants	18	112.1	1.44
G. Canning (LAA)	ATL Braves	16	84.2	1.71
C. Burnes (MIL)	WSH Nationals	14	127.1	0.99
G. Kirby (SEA)	BOS Red Sox	14	123.2	1.02
T. Walker (PHI)	MIA Marlins	13	113	1.03
J. Irvin (WSH)	MIL Brewers	13	74.1	1.57
N. Pivetta (BOS)	SEA Mariners	12	81	1.33
N. Syndergaard (CLE)	HOU Astros	12	55.1	1.96
K. Gibson (BAL)	TOR Blue Jays	11	127	0.77
S. Lugo (SD)	COL Rockies	11	82	1.20
E. Cabrera (MIA)	PHI Phillies	10	74	1.21
J. France (HOU)	CLE Guardians	10	84.2	1.06
C. Morton (ATL)	LA Angels	10	113.1	0.79
T. Glasnow (TB)	NY Yankees	8	61.2	1.17
A. Abbott (CIN)	CHI Cubs	8	61.2	1.17
M. Stroman (CHI)	CIN Reds	8	125.2	0.5

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

Batter	Timeframe (last # of days)	HR
M. Machado (SD)	Last 30	9
M. Muncy (LAD)	Last 30	9
S. Ohtani (LAA)	Last 30	9
C. Bellinger (CHI)	Last 30	8
J. Burger (CHW)	Last 30	8
A. Riley (ATL)	Last 15	8
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 15	5
W. Flores (SF)	Last 15	5
A. Bregman (HOU)	Last 15	5
P. Alonso (NYM)	Last 7	4
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 7	4
J. Ramirez (CLE)	Last 7	4
M. Wallner (MIN)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	59
OAK Athletics	2nd	58
DET Tigers	3rd	54
TB Rays	4th	53
CHI White Sox	5th	51

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Minimum 10 PAs and .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

Batter	Opposing Pitcher	Plate Appearances	HR	AVG
G. Stanton (NYY)	T. Glasnow (TB)	11	3	.400
T. Grisham (SD)	A. Gomber (COL)	15	2	.133
M. Olson (ATL)	G. Canning (LAA)	17	2	.250
E. Suarez (SEA)	N. Pivetta (BOS)	10	1	.250
B. Belt (TOR)	K. Gibson (BAL)	9	1	.333
M. Moustakas (LAA)	C. Morton (ATL)	14	1	.250
D. Varsho (TOR)	K. Gibson (BAL)	11	1	.333
M. Machado (SD)	A. Gomber (COL)	27	1	.208
E. Escobar (LAA)	C. Morton (ATL)	20	1	.263
J. Segura (MIA)	T. Walker (PHI)	17	1	.294
Y. Diaz (TB)	D. German (NYY)	24	1	.350
C. Walker (ARI)	A. Cobb (SF)	20	1	.412
B. De La Cruz (MIA)	T. Walker (PHI)	18	1	.471
C. Blackmon (COL)	S. Lugo (SD)	11	1	.273

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.