Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, August 14

Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Monday, August 14

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

First things first, especially if you are a new bettor, is to check out our revamped Best Sportsbooks page. Here you’ll find not only every sportsbook available to you in your state but also the best promo offers available from each as well as our review for any given book. Having multiple books is a major tool to keep in your pocket as you will always be able to get the best price and make use of the daily promos available. This is crucial to turning a long-term profit.

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account when betting on sports.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, below.

👉 The Best US Betting Sites 👈

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

  • Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
  • Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
  • The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
  • Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - mONday, August 14

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER OPPONENT HR ALLOWED IP HR/9
J. Sears (OAK) STL Cardinals 25 125.2 1.79
M. Scherzer (TEX) LA Angels 24 120.2 1.79
C. Flexen (COL) ARI D-Backs 17 55.2 2.75
C. Schmidt (NYY) ATL Braves 17 115.0 1.33
L. Gilbert (SEA) KC Royals 17 137.2 1.11
C. Carrasco (NYM) PIT Pirates 16 81.1 1.77
Y. Darvish (SD) BAL Orioles 16 120.1 1.20
B. Garrett (MIA) HOU Astros 15 117.0 1.15
M. Mikolas (STL) OAK Athletics 15 141.1 0.83
G. Rodriguez (BAL) SD Padres 13 74.0 1.58
M. Kelly (ARI)** COL Rockies 13 118.0 0.99
B. Singer (KC) SEA Mariners 13 128.1 0.91
F. Valdez (HOU) MIA Marlins 13 142.0 0.82
T. Glasnow (TB) SF Giants 9 68.2 1.18
P. Sandoval (LAA) TEX Rangers 9 109.2 0.74
Q. Priester (PIT) NY Mets 5 23.2 1.90
R. Walker (SF) TB Rays 5 41.1 1.09
M. Fried (ATL) NY Yankees 2 36.0 0.50

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER LAST # OF DAYS HR
M. Olson (ATL) Last 30 13
A. Riley (ATL) Last 30 12
T. Casas (BOS) Last 30 9
P. Alonso (NYM) Last 30 9
K. Tucker (HOU) Last 30 9
C. Raleigh (SEA) Last 30 9
S. Ohtani (LAA) Last 30 9
N. Castellanos (PHI) Last 15 6
B. Reynolds (PIT) Last 15 6
D. Swanson (CHC) Last 15 6
 

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM RANK HR ALLOWED
OAK Athletics 1st 65
WSH Nationals 2nd 64
NY Mets 3rd 63
TB Rays T-4th 59
CIN Reds T-4th 59
CHI White Sox 5th 58
DET Tigers 6th 56
COL Rockies T-7th 55
ARI D-Backs T-7th 55

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER PITCHER PLATE APPEARANCES HR BATTING AVG
J. Lamb (LAA) M. Scherzer (TEX) 15 3 .546
W. Flores (SF) T. Glasnow (TB) 5 2 .400
J. McCann (BAL) Y. Darvish (SD) 11 2 .400
R. McMahon (COL) M. Kelly (ARI)* 30 2 .222
S. Perez (KC) L. Gilbert (SEA) 9 1 .375
J. Soler (MIA) F. Valdez (HOU) 9 1 .375
G. Stanton (NYY) M. Fried (ATL) 5 1 .600

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Now, we know you probably already have an account with one of the leading sportsbooks here in the US, but it definitely pays to have more than one funded account.

Find out which books are best, who has the best new customer offer, and how you can secure better odds and lines for all of your bets, in Dimers' Best US Sportsbooks and Betting Sites section.

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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