Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Friday, September 29

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Friday, September 29.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
LA : Lance Lynn (R) 12-11, ERA 5.83	SF Giants	43	177.2	2.18
WSH : Trevor Williams (R) 6-10, ERA 5.55	ATL Braves	34	141	2.17
DET : Joey Wentz (L) 3-12, ERA 6.45	CLE Guardians	23	103.1	2.01
KC : Jordan Lyles (R) 5-17, ERA 6.13	NY Yankees	38	171.2	2.00
NYY : Carlos Rodon (L) 3-7, ERA 5.74	KC Royals	14	64.1	1.97
MIL : Colin Rea (R) 6-6, ERA 4.74	CHI Cubs	23	119.2	1.74
LAA : Chase Silseth (R) 4-1, ERA 4.10	OAK Athletics	9	48.1	1.68
MIN : Joe Ryan (R) 11-10, ERA 4.31	COL Rockies	29	156.2	1.67
BAL : John Means (L) 1-1, ERA 2.60	BOS Red Sox	3	17.1	1.58
STL : Jake Woodford (R) 2-2, ERA 5.09	CIN Reds	8	46	1.57
BOS : Nick Pivetta (R) 9-8, ERA 4.25	BAL Orioles	23	135.2	1.53
OAK : Ken Waldichuk (L) 4-8, ERA 5.49	LA Angels	23	136	1.52
TOR : Yusei Kikuchi (L) 10-6, ERA 3.82	TOR Blue Jays	26	162.2	1.44
SEA : Bryan Woo (R) 4-5, ERA 4.39	TEX Rangers	13	84	1.39
CIN : Brandon Williamson (L) 4-5, ERA 4.54	STL Cardinals	17	111.000	1.38
HOU : J.P. France (R) 11-6, ERA 3.83	ARI D-Backs	19	136.1	1.26
MIA : Edward Cabrera (R) 7-7, ERA 4.22	PIT Pirates	11	96	1.03
SD : Nick Martinez (R) 4-3, ERA 3.59	CHI White Sox	12	105.1	1.03
CHW : Dylan Cease (R) 7-8, ERA 4.71	SD Padres	19	172	0.99
ARI : Zac Gallen (R) 17-8, ERA 3.49	HOU Astros	22	203.2	0.97
CLE : Cal Quantrill (R) 3-7, ERA 5.13	DET Tigers	10	94.2	0.96
CHC : Kyle Hendricks (R) 6-8, ERA 3.80	MIL Brewers	13	132.2	0.89
TEX : Nathan Eovaldi (R) 12-4, ERA 3.26	SEA Mariners	13	140.2	0.83
TB : Aaron Civale (R) 7-4, ERA 3.43	TB Rays	11	120.2	0.82
SF : Keaton Winn (R) 1-2, ERA 3.89	LA Dodgers	3	37	0.73
ATL : Allan Winans (R) 1-2, ERA 4.33	WSH Nationals	2	27	0.67
PIT : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	MIA Marlins	-	-	0.00
COL : N/A 0-0, ERA 0.00	MIN Twins	-	-	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	12
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
J. Soto (SD)	Last 30	10
N. Velazquez (KC)	Last 30	9
M. Semien (TEX)	Last 30	9
N. Velasquez (KC)	Last 30	9
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 15	6
C. Encarnacion-Strand (CIN)	Last 15	6

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	92
LA Angels	2nd	86
KC Royals	3rd	85
TEX Rangers	4th	83
DET Tigers	5th	82
OAK Athletics	6th	81

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL)	Nick Pivetta (R)	22	2	0.238
Jackie Bradley Jr. (KC)	Carlos Rodon (L)	10	2	0.500
Aaron Judge (NYY)	Jordan Lyles (R)	18	2	0.375
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Trevor Williams (R)	16	2	0.467
Salvador Perez (KC)	Carlos Rodon (L)	20	2	0.421
Christian Yelich (MIL)	Kyle Hendricks (R)	59	2	0.240

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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