Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Friday, September 15

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

Now, you should know that it definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that new users at PointsBet can score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet? That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season, and you get to rep your team's gear afterwards.

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Thursday, September 14.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
MIA : Johnny Cueto (R) 1-4, ERA 6.15	ATL Braves	12	41	2.63
COL : Chase Anderson (R) 0-5, ERA 6.49	SF Giants	17	68	2.25
ARI : Brandon Pfaadt (R) 1-8, ERA 6.25	CHI Cubs	20	80.2	2.24
CLE : Lucas Giolito (R) 7-13, ERA 4.89	TEX Rangers	36	163.2	1.99
KC : Zack Greinke (R) 1-15, ERA 5.47	HOU Astros	25	126.2	1.78
PHI : Aaron Nola (R) 12-9, ERA 4.64	STL Cardinals	31	176.1	1.58
LAA : Griffin Canning (R) 7-6, ERA 4.34	DET Tigers	19	110	1.55
HOU : Cristian Javier (R) 9-3, ERA 4.78	KC Royals	23	141.1	1.47
WSH : Jake Irvin (R) 3-5, ERA 4.20	MIL Brewers	18	113.2	1.43
MIN : Bailey Ober (R) 6-6, ERA 3.67	CHI White Sox	19	122.2	1.40
CIN : Hunter Greene (R) 4-6, ERA 4.43	NY Mets	14	91.1	1.38
CHW : Jesse Scholtens (R) 1-8, ERA 4.44	MIN Twins	12	79	1.37
NYM : David Peterson (L) 3-8, ERA 5.34	CIN Reds	14	94.1	1.34
MIL : Wade Miley (L) 7-4, ERA 3.30	WSH Nationals	15	103.2	1.31
TOR : Jose Berrios (R) 10-10, ERA 3.63	BOS Red Sox	23	171	1.21
BOS : Brayan Bello (R) 12-8, ERA 3.68	TOR Blue Jays	19	142	1.20
SD : Seth Lugo (R) 6-7, ERA 3.80	OAK Athletics	16	125.2	1.15
TEX : Jon Gray (R) 8-7, ERA 3.78	CLE Guardians	18	145.1	1.12
BAL : Jack Flaherty (R) 8-8, ERA 4.98	TB Rays	18	152	1.07
SEA : George Kirby (R) 10-9, ERA 3.48	LA Dodgers	19	165.2	1.04
NYY : Gerrit Cole (R) 13-4, ERA 2.79	PIT Pirates	20	187	0.96
TB : Zach Eflin (R) 14-8, ERA 3.53	BAL Orioles	17	160.2	0.96
PIT : Johan Oviedo (R) 8-14, ERA 4.34	NY Mets	17	161.2	0.95
SF : Logan Webb (R) 10-12, ERA 3.54	COL Rockies	20	193	0.93
LA : Bobby Miller (R) 9-3, ERA 3.98	SEA Mariners	10	101.2	0.89
ATL : Bryce Elder (R) 12-4, ERA 3.38	MIA Marlins	16	162.1	0.89
STL : Zack Thompson (L) 5-4, ERA 4.06	PHI Phillies	5	51	0.88
CHC : Justin Steele (L) 16-3, ERA 2.83	ARI D-Backs	11	159	0.62
DET : Tarik Skubal (L) 5-3, ERA 3.47	LA Angels	3	62.1	0.43
OAK : Sean Newcomb (L) 0-0, ERA 0.75	SD Padres	0	12	0.00

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	14
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	13
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	11
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 30	10
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	10
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	10
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	9
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	9
M. Garver (TEX)	Last 30	9
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	84
TEX Rangers	2nd	81
OAK Athletics	T-3rd	75
BOS Red Sox	T-3rd	75
KC Royals	5th	74
LA Angels	6th	73

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
M. Conforto (SF)	C. Anderson (COL)	25	4	.200
A. Vaughn (CHW)	B. Ober (MIN)	12	2	.167
M. Olson (ATL)	J. Cueto (MIA)	9	2	.222
T. Estrada (SF)	C. Anderson (COL)	5	2	.400
R. Devers (BOS)	J. Berrios (TOR)	32	2	.233

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.