Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Saturday, September 2

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR Parlays.

RELATED: Our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, Every Single Day

Find out why definitely pays to have more than one funded US Sportsbook account when betting on sports.

For example, did you know that new users at PointsBet can score a jersey of their choice from Fanatics with their first $50 bet? That's easily one of the best promos to take advantage of when betting on football this season, and you get to rep your team's gear afterwards.

Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our Best Home Run Props which continuously update throughout the day!

MORE: Best Bets Today in All Sports - Friday, September 2

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
A. Marsh (KC)	BOS Red Sox	14	49.1	2.57
L. Severino (NYY)	HOU Astros	20	81.1	2.22
S. Cecconi (ARI) *AAA stats*	BAL Orioles	23	103.0	2.01
T. Williams (WSH)	MIA Marlins	29	130.2	2.00
G. Canning (LAA)	OAK Athletics	18	98.2	1.65
T. Hatch (PIT) *AAA stats*	STL Cardinals	8	45.0	1.60
A. Nola (PHI)	MIL Brewers	29	167.1	1.56
Z. Littell (TB)	CLE Guardians	10	58.2	1.55
Y. Kikuchi (TOR)	COL Rockies	23	139.0	1.49
D. Peterson (NYM)	SEA Mariners	13	84.1	1.39
R. Olson (DET)	CHI White Sox	11	72.1	1.37
K. Harrison (SF) *AAA stats*	SD Padres	10	67.0	1.34
T. Houck (BOS)	KC Royals	11	76.2	1.30
H. Brown (HOU)	NY Yankees	19	133.0	1.29
L. Castillo (SEA)	NY Mets	23	164.1	1.26
A. Abbott (CIN)	CHI Cubs	12	88.2	1.22
T. Blach (COL)	TOR Blue Jays	6	48.0	1.13
L. Allen (CLE)	TB Rays	13	107.1	1.09
J. Assad (CHC)	CIN Reds	9	79.0	1.03
M. Clevinger (CWS)	DET Tigers	11	97.2	1.02
B. Elder (ATL)	LA Dodgers	15	149.1	0.91
B. Snell (SD)	SF Giants	15	149.0	0.91
J. Montgomery (TEX)	MIN Twins	14	152.1	0.83
K. Bradish (BAL)	ARI D-Backs	12	133.2	0.81
P. Blackburn (OAK)	LA Angels	7	84.2	0.75
D. Rom (STL) *AAA stats*	PIT Pirates	8	97.0	0.74
D. Keuchel (MIN)	TEX Rangers	0	18.0	0.00
LAD - TBD	ATL Braves	-	-	-
MIA - TBD	WSH Nationals	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	11
B. Harper (PHI)	Last 30	10
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	10
C. Seager (TEX)	Last 30	10
A. Judge (NYY)	Last 30	10
J. Soler (MIA)	Last 30	9
M. Betts (LAD)	Last 30	9
K. Carpenter (DET)	Last 30	9
S. Torkelson (DET)	Last 30	9
B. Witt Jr. (KC)	Last 30	9
M. Ozuna (ATL)	Last 15	8
A. Duvall (BOS)	Last 15	7

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	81
OAK Athletics	T-2nd	70
DET Tigers	3rd	69
CHI White Sox	T-4th	68
LA Angels	T-4th	68
KC Royals	T-5th	67
BOS Red Sox	T-5th	67
TEX Rangers	T-5th	67

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
C. Vasquez (MIN)	J. Montgomery (TEX)	24	3	.292
C. Correa (MIN)	J. Montgomery (TEX)	13	1	.333
Y. Alvarez (HOU)	L. Severino (NYY)	11	1	.222
K. Tucker (HOU)	L. Severino (NYY)	11	1	.250
M. Brantley (HOU)	L. Severino (NYY)	21	1	.278
J. Altuve (HOU)	L. Severino (NYY)	33	1	.273
J. Sanchez (MIA)	T. Williams (WSH)	12	1	.300
J. Soler (MIA)	T. Williams (WSH)	11	1	.333
L. Arraez (MIA)	T. Williams (WSH)	13	1	.385
W. Contreras (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	19	1	.222
R. Tapia (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	16	1	.333
C. Yelich (MIL)	A. Nola (PHI)	34	1	.303
S. Ohtani (LAA)	P. Blackburn (OAK)	9	1	.500
M. Semien (TEX)	D. Keuchel (MIN)	49	1	.289

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

Dimers' 👉 Best US Betting Sites 👈

Enjoy gambling responsibly. Treat it as entertainment, not a way to make money and only gamble with funds you can afford to lose. Know when to stop and seek support if needed. Remember, gambling should be a fun and enjoyable experience. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.